Snowcrazed71

Doesn'tnt seem to be there anymore? Of anything.. There may be more of a coastal trying to get closer

Yeah. I noticed channel 3 WFSB is calling for mostly 10"-20", Gil on Channel 8 WTNH is calling for 12"-24" and also very windy with Blizzard conditions.

Funny.. NBC wvit Bob Maxon still has thr state at 6-12" but, he sis say he thongs most will see a foot. He also said a few towns may see more. He is blending both the Euro amd the GFS amd blames the totals for not being higher on the storm racing right out to sea. He said if it were to slow down.. We would see 2' +

Do you guys think this really does any more changing? Im.starting to see both come together. Not looking like SNE will be getting into the double digits. At least not the recent trends. I want to beleive in the Nam... But just not sure what to think.

Lolol. Come on man, you know I want the big totals LOL. However, my True question is the legitimacy of the NAM model at this point. I know people say not to use a man model as a long-range model, but wouldn't 48 Hours not be long range. Are we getting into it will house now?

Are we at a better time frame now being within 48 hours of the storm and using the NAM model. I'm still worried about the gyro heading stupid South, and the GFS not really moving North but, now that first thing is on shore is much better sampling going on for tonight tomorrow. I'm just going to expect 6in and if I get more that'll be exciting. I'm thinking I'm in a very good spot being right in the center of Connecticut

So is the EPS better than the Op generally?

Well.. The 18z Euro kuchera looks good with the snowfall for SNE

Tracking is so exhausting LOL I fully admit that I am a weather weenie at 49 years old. I've Loved tracking the weather my entire life. Even had a stint in college for meteorology, ending up in Design ( which I love ). With that said, even if we see 6 to 12 in I'll be super happy. Plus, we still have January February March and even April.. At least it's not the last few years for here in Southern New England

No.. Mountain Dew likes to stir the pot all the time. As I mentioned before.. He probably has nothing better to do and is bored with life, so he needs to poke all others to feel good. ;-)

It's funny you should say that. A well trusted meteorologist here in Connecticut said it's looking more and more likely to see a foot plus, he wouldn't be surprised if it's 1 to 2 ft. So, I don't think it's a wishful thinking type of deal. It is in the realm of possibility oh, that's coming from a professional / professionals as he's not the only one to say that being a meteorologist can I put time will tell. We're getting closer to the date. I'd be perfectly content with one foot

Guys if you look at the GFS 12z. It does show some differences that It hadn't before. The low placement is further west and stronger. The precipitation field hasn't changed with the placement of the low going more West. This is actually a good step in the right direction. I expect to see some more changes in the next two to three runs

I know we have talked about snow ratios. Everyrhing modeled uses a 10:1 ratio. With the temps logged in the 20s for most, wouldnt the snow ratios be a bit higher? Ps... I am mot expecting anything good on the GFS. Just my thoughts on that

I would say to just be confident LOL

Are there any Mets on here who could possibly enlighten us on what this storm might do? And why the models are in 2 different camps?

It's definitely south of three last run..but..deff north of the gfs

Got this from " the other forum " Just reading the info from the NWS tells me the GFS is way off on ts representation of this event. Not so much track but the intensity and precipitation field. We have wondered why the precip just dies out and @StretchCT, @Phased Vort and @MaineJay all have pointed out the weakening of the system. However the NWS is saying this is a developing and intensifying system. tells me the GFS isn't in its right mind and we can expect a giant run either tonight's 00Z or tomorrow when it gets back on track. We may be seeing those incredible numbers it was spitting out Friday night and early Saturday again. So I think we are going to see a huge GFS run that actually makes more sense in the next 24 hours or so.

I think your map is very reasonable. Didn't you have the map out for that storm back in early December? I think your map was pretty accurate

Had to take a 1 minute break..lol Nice to hear that this won't be our only shot at snow.

So... In the camp of the Euro ( a little further north ). Has the Canadian been right in the past..or the right camp?

Lol. I know, but Dr Dews likes to stir the pot and press everyone buttons. Theres always one ( or two ). They will keep doing what they do as that's what gives them a rise. My guess, its his only way to feel bigger and better than others. But all are welcome here?, even him. Oh.. Paige topper! GFS speaks, Euro tells him to shut up and get back into line! All is good. :-)

You're suck a WEENIE. Lol

Locked and loaded ( although the one for tomorrow I do think wrong surpass 1" in most areas in CT ). Checked out at the flakes of the air will be fun and gets us ready for Thursday

Who.. You can argue that the GFS didn't nail that system either. Like I said.. They both have there weaknesses and strengths. Best to combine the two.

It's been a toss up between the two I would say. When you think about it and how the GFS has fluctuated back and forth with each run, then compared with the Euro..they have pretty good similarities.