Snowcrazed71

Looks like the atmosphere is cooling for most in the interior of Connecticut... That is why we are seeing the changeover happening in a lot of places west and east of the river. 

24 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

If we flip this early..obviously that’s a good sign going forward. 

 

Wow, that’s good to hear. You got about 125 ft on me if that, so I should be seeing some flakes soon as well. 

It's trying very hard. Lot of huge flakes now coming down with the rain. About to leave for work I'm heading to West Hartford. Curious how it will be there as opposed to here when I get home at 4

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Oh. That means you’re close to flipping unless he’s got elevation on you 

I'm up about 450' . It's getting closer to flipping over. I can now visibly see some big flakes. 

Ok..so I do have cat paws now mixing in with the rain. Getting my Skylight and you can see the melting as they hit the Skylight. They seem to be getting more mixed into the rain than they were about 10 minutes ago. I guess we're about on track maybe a little earlier for my area

3 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Yeah I could see a lot of areas getting 3-6" there. But who knows. 

I'm surprised Hartford county isn't under some kind of advisory though?

13 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

That NAM clown map has me at 15 inches lol..cut 50% off and I’d be happy. 

Just 1 town north of you. Temp was 58 today. Now its 45 and cooling off quick. I'll take 7.5"

We were about 58 here today, now down to 45 with light rain. 

17 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

I feel like it still looks good on the NAM back this way. Real nice 700mb front/TROWAL action through central CT.

The NAM is showing quite a bit of snow here in Hartford county. Is this going to be done by 5..or more like 7 in our area ( I'm seeing around 9 )

2 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Some NWS maps in case you missed them

For Boston metro, flipping an hour sooner/exiting an hour later would be how we can get to 4”+

Some things to watch at 0z, and there was a hint of slower exit on some guidance today

That's no ending timer to seems kind of early for the Hartford area. At least from what I am seeing

43 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Sort of out on a limb here but here's our forecast. Wish me luck. 

Ryan!!!!!! You sneaky devil you. I didn't realize tray was you. Question, I am at about 450' on Rattlesnake mountain. I know from your map I am in the 3-6 range. Is my elevation enough to get me towarss the higher end of those numbers? Anyway, just wanted to thank you again for your forecasts. You are my favorite MET. 

Looks like Ryan H. From WVIT in Connecticut up'ed the numbers for the areas on both sides of Hartford. I'm in the 3"-6" in zone now. Tolland now 6"-10".

30 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Certainly should be one there. BOX pays CT zones very little mind you’ll learn 

Oh that's right. Hartford and Litchfield is part of the Albany office

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

 

I'm wondering if they will extend the Winter Storm Watch into Hartford County as well. I'm just west of West Hartford on the Farmington Plainville line on top of a hill about 450 feet high. What if that will make some difference

So do you guys think that the National Weather Service will put some watches up in to Connecticut now?

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Even the kuchera maps are pretty good....and they are pretty conservative in the marginal low level events. That's how obscene that run was.

 

Even puts me in the 8"-9" range. Isnt the NAM better within 24 hours? Wonder if the Euro will follow suite like it did after that big run the NAM had yesterday morning?

1 hour ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:

The 8th system seems to be a more legit threat then current model runs have shown.  I am under the suspicion that the 8th system comes back to the benchmark and ends up delivering our first accumulating snows along the coastal plain.

Sorry man, but nothing is showing that happening. I think you should let this one go. If a miracle happens, at least you'll be surprised

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The mid week system likely is a miss. Clipper is too far north. Next weekend though .. the 12th-13th.. that one is legit.

But.. Is the 12th-13th storm going to be rain... Or snow? That is the question

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

We watched as well. It’s the right approach.  

I do agree. One thing about Ryan is he doesn't hype anything. So when he does say it's gonna be big....it's gonna be big.

Just watched my local met, Ryan H on wvit in CT. He will not side with either solution yet. He said 1 model has the storm walloping CT with heavy rain changing to Heavy Snow Saturday.  Then he said the other model is way out to sea and not really doing much for us. He does have a first alert for Saturday for the potential for a major storm. Said that Bob maxon ( other met ) Will and should have a better handle on the storm tomorrow morning. He also said it's not often where things are so up in the air only 36 hours out.

3 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

You have to understand when SEMA folk say SNE...they refer to the love triangle of Boston, Orh, Taunton. Everyone outside of there are considered new yorkers or canadians.

Lol.. That's funny because we consider you guys the lobsta pottas... The cape and the islands... But not SNE..lolol ( jk )

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

That’s a hellacious Rainer from like ORH points east in mass on the gfs.... not a great run for snow in SNE

Well.. I wouldn't say that. It puts a lot of central and northern Connecticut back in the game. And we are southern New England

Just now, RDRY said:

Yay, Berks. One more tic west and they're good to go. Funny seeing the GFS being the stronger, western outlier. It typically is nudging west toward consensus at this lead time.

So...does the 00z GFS bode well for North central Connecticut ( just north of 84 )?

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That next one behind the 5th would be another good one.

Is that one for mid week next week? No one is talking about it except one quick mention of something to watch thats put to sea as of now?

I am happy with what I see for us here in central CT. 

What really gets me is how bad technology is with weather forecasting. It seems like they can't even get anything together even when the storm is within a few days. I just don't get how bad these models are.