Jump to content

SnowDreamer

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    436

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by SnowDreamer

  1. SnowDreamer
    Hr 72… Energy north of ND looks a good tick souther on the 12Z Euro… may help it phase in?
  2. SnowDreamer
    I have felt the dark side pull me as well… Lots of us get jealous of snow sometimes, but actively hoping for others to get screwed takes a special kind of weenie.
  3. SnowDreamer
    I agree that it’s an IMBY sport, and I don’t think anyone has a real problem with people rooting that way. I don’t love the F-your-BY attitude that sometimes happens though. If it’s not actually better for your (not DDweather, just a hypothetical your) backyard, why root against someone else’s snow? Putting aside of course that rooting doesn’t help anyway.
  4. SnowDreamer
    It’s the classic statistical fallacy that the coin somehow “remembers” whether it was heads or tails on the last n flips.
  5. SnowDreamer
    00Z CMC h5 much improved vs 12z… actually quite the shift.
  6. SnowDreamer
    GFS SLP for Sunday is weaker and Souther. No bueno.
  7. SnowDreamer
    Fixed
  8. SnowDreamer
    Agree. Phase looks too late, but it’s something to track at least!
  9. SnowDreamer
    I call this piece: Three ships in the night medium: weenie tears on Cray supercomputer
  10. SnowDreamer
    The problem is the label… it’s NOT a “start time” map. It just isn’t. I *think* it’s a map of where it’s snowing when. Even then it’s a disaster.
  11. SnowDreamer
    closest approach judging from the CMC website is about 50-75 miles off obx?
  12. SnowDreamer
    It's significantly worse at sfc in hr 57...
  13. SnowDreamer
    Out to 3 hours and I've got no fingernails left
  14. SnowDreamer
    RGEM Kuch vs. 18Z massive overhaul ...ninja'd by CAPE
  15. SnowDreamer
    They're both a nice chunk in the right direction... abscond!
  16. SnowDreamer
    It’s interesting that anecdotally the GFS has been taking the EURO’s lunch money this month with these scores.
  17. SnowDreamer
    I love it when the most likely outcome still isn’t likely. “My forecast is for 1-3”, but there’s a 54% chance I’m wrong”
  18. SnowDreamer
    Can really see the trend to more phasing and a deeper dig here...Hoping to see the same on the GFS
  19. SnowDreamer
  20. SnowDreamer
    SLP bombs from 1004 to 966 in 24 hours… hot damn.
  21. SnowDreamer
    I agree that the difference is more apparent at the upper levels, but even at the surface you can see the LP is a bit stronger and holds on longer before being shot OTS vs 18Z.
  22. SnowDreamer
    You guys are giving up on the run so soon lol. I see a pretty big shift at h5 hr 81.
  23. SnowDreamer
    DCA probably going to break through 22F tonight… wonder if this streak is still alive?
  24. SnowDreamer
    Someone correct me if I’m wrong, but I’m pretty sure snowfall maps are made with mean at the very end. This is why you’ll sometimes see a mean of 1” snowfall when 1 member has a blizzard but the others have 45 degrees and sunny.
  25. SnowDreamer
    Holy crap they finally used the bottom right corner of the matrix! Day made.
×
×
  • Create New...