SnowDreamer

40/19 Got a good feeling about this one

12k NAMming in progress.

What is the best source for snow verification maps? I was planning to use this https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/, but it looks like an errant 21" reading around harrisonburg has messed that map up.

For my bingo card... do I get "virga", "radar hallucinations", or both for this?

UKIE is meh

QPF is just a bit better pretty much everywhere. trend = friend

Unsurprisingly, the GEFS mean is skewed by two HECS. I'll take P08 and call it a decade.

The fact that we are now posting MECS in the panic thread is telling. Tough times in Weenie-ville.

No threads until the 1” streak is broken. Desperate times call for desperate measures. EURO shows 20” in 24 hours? No thread.

Not that I'm not bummed, but we do sometimes get good trends. Jan 3rd 2022 was a late trend North which increased totals for many by a lot.

Kicker coming out of AK is weaker again.

GEPS snowfall looks a lot better than 12Z... 3-4" region wide on the mean. The GEM looks like a warm outlier against its own ensemble.

Also unsettled for the 7th storm. Was usually either the most or least snow of globals.

Beauty of a track. Straight up the coast with plenty of inland snow too.