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jaydreb

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Everything posted by jaydreb

  1. Canadian is kind of in between. Has a storm but it slides off to our south. GFS is the most suppressed of the three.
  2. GFS is the new Dr. No? And Euro is the new DGEX?
  3. FWIW, ICON moved closer to something for this weekend.
  4. The 0z GEFS improved a bit for this time period. There’s a signal for a coastal.
  5. Basically if we want a storm, we want to see an amplified ridge over Alaska and deeper trough in the Central US (he uses hour +144). He thinks the overall pattern might support a better storm than the GEFS mean is indicating.
  6. GEFS is cold. A brief warm up this week, and then after Thursday DCA barely goes above freezing for at least a week.
  7. 12z GEFS took the proverbial “step back” for next weekend’s possible storm. Supports OTS/southern slider solution.
  8. True but this is what it looked like the run before. Anyway, this is all moot since we’ll get a new run in an hour.
  9. From looking at the latest GEFS and EPS, I think the bigger risk at this point is that the trough doesn’t dig enough and this slides off to the south and we just get a glancing hit (or none at all).
  10. GFS had it at 18z. CMC had it at 0z. Good signs.
  11. Light snow into DC at 150 with heavier stuff on the doorstep.
  12. Some nice hits for the CMC storm showing up on GEFS as well.
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