jaydreb
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Everything posted by jaydreb
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NAM says we will go from this cold rain to another slightly less cold rain.
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We had hope last night. Now we are 24 hrs closer to gametime and the guidance has not improved so the mood is darker.
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Man this is going to be a close one. Looks like a classic forum divider.
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All true, but no weenie is going to be happy when the two models that showed snow no longer do so.
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0z GEFS is better for DC. 18z was basically a shutout comprised of rainers. 0z is almost an even split of rainers and wintry precip.
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Pretty much unanimously shows rain for almost everyone. A few members have snow up near m/d line.
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If this happens then my grade for this winter goes down a full letter grade.
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Well the OP showing cold rain at 78 hrs has been foolproof so far as well so just lookin for some hope.
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Will be interesting to see if some decent solutions show up in the ensembles. 12z GEFS was pretty much unanimously rainers.
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18z GFS is damn close to doing just that. It still doesn’t get it done though.
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12z GEFS pretty much all rainers for this event for DC/Balt. Marginally better up near m/d line.
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Doesn’t GFS have it track to our south?
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Welp, it was inevitable that NYC and NE would have their revenge. We’re actually been pretty fortunate not to have one of these storms up to this point.
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The flip wasn’t so bad. It flipped to sleet and then drizzle. At least it didn’t flip to pouring rain and wash everything away. My yard is still covered.
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The storm was exceptionally well modeled. It consistently showed up on ops and ensembles for a week or more. What do we have to thank? A stout 50/50?
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Ripping fat flakes. Nice finale!
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Almost baseball sized flakes!
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Heavy pingers now.
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Hmmm. Still snow here. Must be getting close.
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Snow picking back up in N. Arlington.
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Could be. Looking out the window it looks like spitting small snowflakes. Doesn’t look or sound like pingers (yet).
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Wow. Nice! Hopefully we can avoid a rain deluge.
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N. Arlington just hanging on to the southern edge of the snow shield.
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Seeing reports of lightning in N. Md. between Hagerstown and Cumberland.
