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jaydreb

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Everything posted by jaydreb

  1. Ok, I guess I’ll side with PSU and trade in next week’s 2-4”.
  2. No shortage of images for the digital snow thread from this FV3 run.
  3. I mean it gave us 5 inches at 00z last night. Its constantly overdoing something. Fv3 was stubborn last year but always need up being wrong. The model is broken Overdoing?
  4. What’s the difference between a dusting, a trace and a coating? We got one of those.
  5. That’s a hell of an ice/sleet storm in TX at 234-252.
  6. GFS is pretty good for areas N & W. Just a touch too warm for DC Metro but time for things to change.
  7. I can extrapolate a good hit from this. Snow in Alabama and Mississippi can’t be a bad thing. Edit: Posted 18z. 0z is even better.
  8. GFS has a Friday the 13th “storm”. Snow into DCA early Friday AM.
  9. Rates and low sun angle will save us.
  10. GFS looks as good as it ever has for this Tues-weds event. Might cover the mulch.
  11. I think the confusion arose from the fact that the mean 18z eps snowfall doesn’t show anyone getting 5”. But I agree with your point.
  12. Just curious, how do you make these composites? Is there a website?
  13. 12z GFS has a frozen event at hour 240. Precip running into cold air damming.
  14. Happy Hour GFS is pretty active but wants nothing to do with snow for us FWIW.
  15. Pretty stout PNA ridge in medium-range on the GEFS.
  16. Would like to see a 50/50 but not a bad look in the long range from EPS.
  17. GFS gets us into some of the coastal action but just too warm at the surface for DC metro. Looks better for Jackpotville.
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