jaydreb
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Everything posted by jaydreb
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Heck of a storm for ski resorts of VT, NH, etc.
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GFS is a step in the right direction. Snow in MD at 126. Sleet in DC/NOVA.
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Stronger high as well pressing down. Better CAD.
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What is the “Hi Res” Euro?
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At least Dallas picks up a nice 3-6” event.
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Big hit for Maine too.
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GFS trending the wrong way for next weekend.
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GFS eroding the cold much faster on this run. Not gonna make many friends.
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Euro a little colder than at 0z for next weekend. Should at least have some frozen on the front end and seems like a step towards the GFS. Not a bad run for PSU and jackpotville IMHO.
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It’s been mentioned but pretty good signal for an event around 1/22-23 on the GEFS. Some big hits in the mix along with some suppressed and rain solutions.
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Surface is torching though. Seems like the GFS OP always resembles the worst of the ensemble members. Edit: Sorry for the whining.
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I know it’s been mentioned but that 6z GEFS run is total weenieness. Lots of big hits.
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We went from pinks at 18z to purple at 0z with less greens. I’ll assume that’s a good thing.
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It’s funny because we were saying last week that the Pac ridge progressing into the EPO domain was the least likely way out the abyss (as compared to regressing or getting help from Atlantic) but all indications are that this may be the outcome.
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They say the big ones are sniffed out early.
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GFS 0z is a weenie run.
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A definite improvement from 12z.
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I only like cold/dry if it’s epic, historic cold. Run of the mill temps in the 20s aren’t very interesting to me.
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The more input we can get from knowledgeable posters the better so I hope you keep posting. I don’t think PSU cancelled winter, he was just pointing out that the historical analogs did not look good if the crappy pattern lasted multiple weeks. He puts a lot of work and research into his posts.
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Serious question: is there such thing as warm/dry, cold/wet pattern in the winter?
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In 93-94 I was at school in Ithaca, NY, and it was cold as hell in Jan and Feb. The coldest temp I ever experienced was -17F with a windchill around -60. The snot would literally freeze in your nostrils.
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EPS snowfall mean is about 2.3 for DC. Not impressive on its own but it comes almost entirely between 1/18 and 1/23 (end of run).
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Right. Jan-Feb 2014 was basically wall to wall deep winter with multiple events (the biggest being about a foot of snow in mid-Feb). Feb 2015 it took a week or two for us to get in the game (there was an early storm or two that missed us to the north and people were panicking) but our time came around mid-Feb and then we had a few nice events, the biggest being around 2/20 when a low ran to our west but the CAD held on and we got about 8” before flipping to sleet/drizzle.
