jaydreb
-
Posts
2,086 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by jaydreb
-
Great job today @psuhoffman.
-
Not enough cold air and the track looks slightly too close to the coast? PSU mentioned in earlier posts that the ridging in Canada cuts us off from cross polar flow of fresh cold air. So we have to rely on whatever cold air has gotten trapped under the block, which may be stale by the time the storm arrives.
-
GEFS also likes the Day 9-11 timeframe. Mixture of acceptable hits and rain storms showing up.
-
Results in a rainstorm verbatim in January
-
0z GFS largely unchanged. Maybe slightly worse/warmer but just noise.
-
Plenty of January fog.
-
I’m not sure it’s wetter - at least not for DC area- but it looks a bit colder.
-
True. And since the vast majority of Day 5 threats are likely to fail (just averages/climo), threads started at Day 5 usually don’t work out.
-
Pretty remarkable how things turned bad within minutes of this thread being opened (right before yesterday’s 12z Euro).
-
Euro looks pretty anemic with precip through 105.
-
GEFS still says it’s going to be snowy. Someone should tell it’s Op member.
-
GEFS a step back - at least for DC metro. Cuts the snowfall total in half. Not sure if this means more sleet than snow or just less frozen overall.
-
You’re right. I was using TT six hour panels. It has trended slower over the past 3 or 4 runs though.
-
GFS even slower.
-
Was that the one? I remember a storm around Feb 20-21, 2015, where the CAD held on longer than expected and we got around 8” before flip to snizzle. I think there was a separate storm where snow fell in the teens but we were disappointed because rates were poor (bad snow growth?).
-
-
I would guess that more college students associate Popeye with chicken than spinach - probably by a wide margin. This guess is based on no scientific basis whatsoever.
-
For sure. I was trying to make N. Arlington feel better. Don’t know how old he is.
-
Zero chance my kids (13/9) would know Popeye’s favorite food. They would totallly guess chicken.
-
Guess that explains the Euro.
-
Euro shifted the heavier precip about a few hundred miles north. Not as good for us but it isn’t a total disaster.
-
Main slug of precip seems quite a bit further north.
-
12z GEFS solid. Supportive of the OP. I’ll let the experts break it down.
-
P10 please.
-
Really nice GEFS run at 0z. I thought it improved for next weekend and the period afterwards.
