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jaydreb

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Everything posted by jaydreb

  1. UMD helping to test vaccine. https://www.chicagotribune.com/coronavirus/ct-nw-nyt-pfizer-coronavirus-vaccine-human-trials-20200505-fqdnotkzbzbw7bzfozc2hnw4ym-story.html?outputType=amp&__twitter_impression=true
  2. This study could explain why we saw this thing take off so rapidly in Europe and eastern US in March. https://news.yahoo.com/mutant-coronavirus-emerged-even-more-110046843.html
  3. I’m just throwing out possible ideas that could work but you’re right that it might not be feasible.
  4. I don’t have answers but I think a lot depends on the availability of rapid testing. If players, coaches and umps are getting tested daily, then it can be managed. If someone tests positive, he gets isolated and the rest of the team can continue as long as they test negative.
  5. Honestly, we’re probably at the bottom in terms of cases, etc. It will only go up from here as things start to open and people start to leave their houses. The question is whether we can keep it at a manageable level or whether it will shoot up again. It’s not realistic to think cases, deaths, etc., will actually decrease while restrictions are lifted.
  6. The new report looks much more realistic. The old version had deaths tailing off to near zero by June 1, which was never going to happen.
  7. Thanks. I’m having a hard time deciphering what specifically some people (on both sides of the debate) want to have happen.
  8. Lol, the photo is a little blurry and I thought it was the elusive 220 Minute IPA.
  9. I don’t even understand what all the arguing is about anymore. It looks like most states, including VA and possibly MD, will be doing some kind of soft reopening in the next few weeks.
  10. I’ve heard of it. Seems like you’d be taking on a small amount of additional risk but it’s up to the people involved to decide if it’s worth it.
  11. Typical incubation period is 5-8 days. The state also had a single day high of test results reported today. So not too surprising that it had a single day high in cases.
  12. What spike? This is from Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel: “The state said about two dozen people may have been infected on election day,” the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reported on Wednesday. “Some have characterized these numbers as an ‘uptick,’ but the experts are cautious.” Ryan Westergaard, the chief medical officer at the Department of Health Services, told the paper that a link could not be established between the election and the very small number of cases that had developed among the 413,000 voters who showed up to the polls on April 7. With the data we have, we can’t prove an association,” Westergaard said. “It would be speculative to say that was definitely the cause without really investigating closely and being clear that somebody really had no other potential exposure to infected people. I don’t think we have the resources to really do that to know definitely.” “I don’t think that the in-person election led to a major effect, to my surprise. I expected it,” Oguzhan Alagoz, an expert in infectious-disease modeling at the University of Wisconsin at Madison, told the Journal-Sentinel.
  13. I mean, your point may be valid but what kind of useless questions are these? Are you “concerned?” Of course people are going to say they are concerned, even if it’s just a little bit. Shouldn’t the question be “Are you so concerned about getting the virus that you won’t be going back to work/visiting businesses?” And the second question is pretty useless too. Are any states proposing to lift social distancing guidelines tomorrow? Seems like a loaded question.
  14. In all honesty I don’t think either of these are true. I don’t think anyone believes that simply reopening will bring the economy roaring back. I also don’t think that all reopening is going to do is get people spreading without much an economic benefit. We simply cannot stay closed forever because we are afraid of spreading the virus. The virus is going to spread. How much and how fast depends on how responsible we are as a society. We have to reopen when it is safe to do so. It’s not going to bring the economy roaring back but every little bit helps.
  15. Cool. Pretty much passes directly over my house.
  16. Our dentist was open for orthodontics and emergency only. My wife took our son on Tuesday to get his braces off. As of now though, VA has reopened to all elective dental and medical procedures.
  17. Yeah, I’d be surprised too. I have no qualifications whatsoever but can’t see a reason why a kid couldn’t be a vector for this virus.
  18. That’s a very cynical take (a scientist is willing to sacrifice the lives of his citizens for political reasons) but could be true. I hope not.
  19. It may be or it may not. I don’t know what he based his decision on and I’m not going to presume to know more than a qualified expert on the matter. He obviously thinks the evidence supports it. Other experts disagree.
  20. It’s not a study per se. The citizens of Switzerland have been told by their leading expert that kids cannot spread the virus and that they can safely hug their grandparents.
  21. This isn’t just a study though. This is the Swiss version of Dr. Fauci saying that the evidence shows that kids can hug their grandparents because kids cannot spread the virus.
  22. Yeah, a lot of conflicting information. As I read it, the Swiss scientist says that kids cannot spread it. The German scientist said that the evidence is inconclusive on whether kids can spread it and that they “may” be able to spread it like adults.
  23. Interesting, considering Switzerland’s lead scientist said that children under 10 cannot spread the virus. https://news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-swiss-children-under-10-allowed-to-hug-grandparents-as-they-do-not-transmit-covid-19-11980568
  24. The context of the discussion was all the people out and about and in close contact at parks, trails, lakes, etc.
  25. I don’t think doctors know for sure why babies don’t seem to suffer severe illness. I’ve heard a lot of theories but no definitive answers. Let’s just be thankful that it seems to be the case. I don’t think we have enough data at this point to say whether coronavirus does or doesn’t slow down in warm weather. Just because there are cases in warm weather locations doesn’t mean that the spread isn’t less than it otherwise would have been. There will likely be an increase in cases this summer as states start to open back up. It’s inevitable. It doesn’t mean they shouldn’t open. It just means that they need to be properly prepared. The reference to a second wave in the fall refers to the likelihood that the virus will have a seasonal pattern and we could see a more dramatic uptick in the fall. We don’t know whether this will be the case but Dr Fauci has said that it is likely. As you’ve noted, this only truly ends when one of three things happens: we reach herd immunity; we have a vaccine; or the virus mutates to a less dangerous form. Until then we are going to be social distancing, have intermittent shutdowns, etc.
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