jaydreb
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Everything posted by jaydreb
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As has been said, this is a better run than 0z for the beltway crew. We do lose 850s but for a shorter amount of time than we did on the 0z run. It looks like it will be Snow-Rain-Snow. It’s all about maximizing the front end thump and then on the back end as the storm passes us and pulls away. A few ticks East and we’re in the snow the whole time.
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I would take that in a heartbeat. Maybe not out your way.
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Sounds crazy but 12z GEFS and CMC were actually a slight step back from prior runs for DC.
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NE Maryland pummelled!
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At least this will be one of those storms where we should flip back to snow after the low passes and the winds shift. With a low running to our NW, we get some snow from the CAD before flipping for good. Here we should go snow-rain-snow. Hopefully all snow or minimal rain.
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Like the 6z EPS, this was a slightly colder run for the Beltway crew. I like that trend.
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Agreed. Was just about to post this. Let’s see how it affects things. Can’t imagine it’s a bad thing.
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It will be a nuke for the interior and the Beltway and SE folks (myself included) will fret over a 6 mile shift in the r/s line and zoom in on soundings even though we are 4 days out.
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I should have gone to bed. Brutal for the beltway crew.
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Yeah. Pretty similar to 12z. Maybe a drop warmer? Still very close to a monster for DC though. All in all a very good 0z suite.
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HP stronger than at 12z.
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Right. Euro has been the warmest of the models so far. GFS and CMC have shown all snow for DC. Euro has had more mixing and temp issues.
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Ok, I maaaayy have been overly pessimistic.
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I’m kind of dreading the 0z runs to be honest. Nowhere to go but down.
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18z EPS is a little concerning IMBY. North and west looking good but we have no wiggle room in the beltway.
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Why not one more map.
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I wouldn’t trust the map depictions. GEFS is a solid hit. Looks improved from 12z.
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GEFS.
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Quebec.
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Rain/snow line running right next to my house but I am just on the correct side of it. Good enough for me. Congrats to N and W.
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GFS is a close shave for DC metro but looks nice for the interior. I hate living in the beltway.
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No significant changes thru 90 on GFS. Maybe the HP is a touch weaker but probably noise.
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Euro was the worst of the 12z suite for DC as far as temps are concerned and still gave a good thump.
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DC metro walking the line as always.
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12z EPS looks slightly better than 0z for DC metro to my untrained eye.
