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jaydreb

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Everything posted by jaydreb

  1. jaydreb
    That image is giving me flashbacks.
  2. jaydreb
    Thanks. Sounds like guidance as a whole has been good but the GEFS/GFS appears to be terrible. I guess we kinda knew that.
  3. jaydreb
    We’ll always have Friday night’s GFS.
  4. jaydreb
    So I’m starting to agree with that poster who always pops in to say the models suck. If an ensemble suite can show that much certainty within 5 days and be wrong then what’s the point of having it at all?
  5. jaydreb
    This is the GEFS mean from 6z. And this is what the GFS just put out. Unreal.
  6. jaydreb
    Where is the north trend when we need it?
  7. jaydreb
    12z Icon is a hit for Fredericksburg down to the VA/NC border.
  8. jaydreb
    Wow. This is setting up to be an epic fail by the GEFS.
  9. jaydreb
    Dr. No.
  10. jaydreb
    0z CMC is 3-6” area wide. EDIT: Storm drops 22 mb in 6 hours. From 992 to 970.
  11. jaydreb
    GEFS looks great.
  12. jaydreb
  13. jaydreb
    Pics or it didn’t happen.
  14. jaydreb
    Also sums it up.
  15. jaydreb
    Icon still wants no part of this storm.
  16. jaydreb
    12z EPS also appears to have a stronger system than 6z. QPF is improved as well.
  17. jaydreb
    They both went towards the CMC?
  18. jaydreb
    Looks deeper to me at 108.
  19. jaydreb
    Man, if only we could get that track during prime climo.
  20. jaydreb
    Literally anything less than 18” on the GFS is a step back. There’s no way this can end well.
  21. jaydreb
    Dude, come on. We all know how this will end. Let’s just enjoy the next 90 minutes.
  22. jaydreb
    GEFS looks like a beat down.
  23. jaydreb
    Looks juiced.
  24. jaydreb
  25. jaydreb
    You’ve been honking about the 1/28 time period for a while, so all the credit in the world to you. Gotta admit that those early rain panels scared me.
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