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jaydreb

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Everything posted by jaydreb

  1. Well, the much ballyhooed 12z Thursday Euro is upon us. Good look to all and hope to see you on the other side!
  2. Great couple of 12z runs (notwithstanding GFS op). Very nice to see the Ukie jump onboard.
  3. Warm air rises, cold air sinks. When the warm air rises, it condenses into precipitation and since it’s moving into a cold air mass, the precip falls as snow.
  4. Track and QPF are great. Just a bit warm for the usual heat zones.
  5. According to my completely unqualified opinion, 95% of storms trend north in the last 72 hours.
  6. Correct, but the concern is that every Euro run over the last 3 runs has pushed the higher totals north. I hope that trend doesn’t continue tomorrow.
  7. Pretty dramatic north trend tbh. The jackpot zone on tonight’s Euro (Penn) got almost nothing in last night’s run.
  8. This is not going to be 2016 imo. This could be a big storm but that was historic. If you are expecting 2016 then you are setting yourself up for disappointment.
  9. You’re talking about the GFS right? Not the storm as depicted by the Euro/EPS?
  10. I know you’ve been waiting a long time for a decent storm. I hope you (we) finally get it.
  11. Has it been updated since yesterday morning?
  12. As expected, no major changes so far from 0z but it’s all about where it transfers and how clean it is.
  13. Won’t be a tomorrow if we all jump off the cliff today.
  14. Probably the most important hour of our lives coming up.
  15. I guess it depends on where you are. GFS actually shows more snow north of DC than the Euro. I guess GFS is a disaster for areas to the south that got a foot on the Euro. DC Beltway areas do about the same (4-6) on both models, although more upside potential with the Euro.
  16. If “disaster” means 3-6” snowfall then we must be in pretty good shape.
  17. I don’t like all the rain on the ICON. It ruins what would be a nice hit.
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