jaydreb
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Everything posted by jaydreb
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CMC doing what GFS did at 18z?
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Well, here’s the GFS’s chance to go 3 for 3.
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Yes please! DC pummeled.
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Looks familiar.
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Still a small signal around 1/22-23.
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Some nice hits on the 0z GEFS around 1/22.
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EPS (10:1 ratio)
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Don’t know about the accuracy of the model (probably none) but CFS is darn cold for the next month and more.
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This what you’re looking for?
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I take and run.
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FWIW, GEFS finally catching on and shifting west again. Still east of op but west of 12z.
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You may end up right, but the current guidance (GFS and Euro) show a pretty significant event in the Shenandoah Valley.
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Lol. Dumpster fire.
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Pretty good mood in this thread all things considered. Getting 10” of snow last week probably helps things for many of us.
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Verbatim it’s probably 2-4/3-6” in DC metro before changeover.
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I can wave to it as it passes my house.
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Lp passes just west of DC, a bit east and better than 0z.
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I guess because all the ops have been unrelentingly consistent with the track.
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FWIW at this point. I guess GEFS just sucks for this storm?
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I know it’s a broken record but GEFS coming in east of op.
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Meh. I like this map better.
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I’ll take thump to dry slot and run with it.
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He did. But I think he also said that at that range the GEFS would be more accurate than an op. Not sure whether that is still the case at this range.
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Weird to see increasing divergence on the GFS ensembles, but the op has been pretty rock solid for what seems like forever now.
