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ChiTownSnow

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Everything posted by ChiTownSnow

  1. I have a hard time discounting it completely though.
  2. Prays To the snow gods one more time.. Goes back to bed
  3. What's the difference between the GFS and the V16.. is one just an upgraded version in beta?
  4. Agreed. But models were not in a general agreement 3 days out either. But point taken
  5. The consistency and agreement among models is refreshing
  6. Good track .. wish it would cut and really ramp up on the backside
  7. I heard somewhere that the ORD official measurement was in good hands
  8. Was like that here upon onset.. quickly changed to flakes
  9. Some light graupel falling now. Right on schedule though. Good thing about graupel is it sticks right away
  10. Agreed.. But it was for different reasoning back then.
  11. I'm okay if it explodes and peaks way more north/west- as long as it then goes due east Even if it weakens as it does, at least we'll get the training effect
  12. Seems to have more of a West to East trajectory to it in N Illinois.
  13. Waiting to see what the GFS does, if consistent with the NW trend then I'm sold and will enjoy my 4 inches, hope for a bump with any lake enhancements that may pan out If GFS shows correction back south or stronger, well then game on
  14. The bleeding will not stop unless morale improves.
  15. Makes sense.. a 5 inch peak storm during morning commute is much different than a peak middle of night..etc
  16. I recall in the past, that little "mesolows" can set up out over the lake and pump moisture back into the region. Are these small/local features generally picked up on models? Or are these a as it happens type of thing?
  17. Most cases we are focused on how much the low strengthens as it heads northeast, but in this case we're focused on how quickly a weakens and gets torn apart. Is there a precedent for this scenario as reference? or how accurate do models predict the weakening of storms?
  18. A terrific post.... If it was posted 2 days ago with confidence
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