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TJW014

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Everything posted by TJW014

  1. TJW014
    Made it to 66 before the sea breeze brought it back to the 50s. That's how it goes this time of year. Tomorrow will be a great day to do a paint correction on the truck after taking down a trail a little too narrow. Hoping the clouds can clear on Thursday night for the lunar eclipse but we might be looking through soup if the marine layer persists.
  2. TJW014
    Finished with 1.97". Should make a nice dent in the drought here. Now time to go surf
  3. TJW014
    Fire hose continues. 1.92"
  4. TJW014
    Much, much, much needed rain down here. Up to 1.22" so far
  5. TJW014
    I'm ready for spring. Sun feels fantastic if you block yourself out of the wind. This $25 charcoal grill will be used heavily on these sunny days.
  6. TJW014
    Low 60s with the smell of burning pine in the woods from some prescribed brush fires. Feels like spring.
  7. TJW014
    Maybe bone dry for the rest of the month?
  8. TJW014
    Wasted potential this winter. People have been calling me that for the last 10 years.
  9. TJW014
    The NAM is like that abusive ex that keeps coming back. Once you think you finally got rid of her for good, she shows back up at your door.
  10. TJW014
    Just a casual 100 mile shift lol
  11. TJW014
  12. TJW014
    GFS barely gets a dusting up to Delaware.
  13. TJW014
    AO being -5 killed this.
  14. TJW014
    Yup some of us in southern areas have a very legitimate chance for warning-level snow. Wouldn't seem like it though because this sub has bipolar disorder
  15. TJW014
    KNEL (Lakehurst) 65 mph gust
  16. TJW014
    71 mph gust at ACY.
  17. TJW014
    These big shifts just go to show the models have no clue wtf is going on
  18. TJW014
    Well within the margin of error this far out.
  19. TJW014
    I think as of now, models are relying too much on the -AO and interpreting that as too much suppression.
  20. TJW014
    Sarcasm aside, the energy for Thursday is still 3000 miles away, not even ashore in the PNW yet. No balloon sampling data from that to inject into the models. We should see some of that data coming in with the 12z or 18z runs tomorrow. We have a long way to go. Not gonna know where this goes until about 48 hours lead time.
  21. TJW014
    How many times does this have to be reiterated: if it looks good 5 days out, be prepared to have the football pulled.
  22. TJW014
    Exactly. I'll gladly take 0.5" QPF, probably at a 15:1 ratio if the EPS were to verify
  23. TJW014
    Still my early thoughts, but I think this will be a good hit, most likely our biggest event for everyone in this sub, save for extreme north/west areas. Jersey Coast and LI look like the best shot for now. I still have zero care for any qpf or snow maps until today's migraine maker (ugh) gets on out of here. I wouldn't be surprised if we continue to see some gradual trends to the west today.
  24. TJW014
    Really need to get today/tomorrow's slop fest/damaging wind threat out of here before the operationals become useful. What lies in wake after this weekend will show us what we're working with. Still ensemble range for now.
  25. TJW014
    We had 2" then rain with that one here lol
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