Sundog
-
Posts
10,528 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Sundog
-
The ICON was a huge torch yesterday but this morning's 6z run now has a hell of a sea breeze/easterly wind developing during the day and cools everyone down into the 40s:
-
No one needs 80 in March. 60 degrees is already a bonus. There will be 5 months of 80+ weather, I think that's more than enough lol
-
The GFS and ICON have near 80 degrees in southern NY and mid 20s with snow in the Adirondacks. That can't be a common sight to see.
-
I don't think a single person "falls" for anything a model shows more than a couple days out. Even metfan. It might show something we wish to have verify but that doesn't mean we believe it will. For example I don't think I'll get snow until I'm within 24 hours of the event and/or there's a giant slug of precip on radar.
-
Looks like I'll be testing the heat pumps this Saturday.
-
I will disagree with the last part, even 50 degrees with Sun is VERY comfortable to do anything outdoors this time of year save water based activities.
-
They want July in March because the masses have already become accustomed to Virginia March averages.
-
The colder runs from the GFS yesterday were also blowing up a low off the coast of Nova Scotia down to the 970s, helping push down the colder air. With the most recent run at 6z, the low never gets going until it's 500 miles SE of Greenland, so no effects for us.
-
Yes back door cold fronts are a new phenomenon
-
By evening we're all back in the 40s, so it's a brief spike in temps
-
The Euro AI was much cooler than the OP, but still warm for NJ:
-
0z EURO even hotter!
-
0z UKMET is a region wide torch:
-
0z GFS still very chilly:
-
Mid 30s on Saturday, now that's downright cold
-
Just under three quarters here. A nice, steady, rain event.
-
Looks like the 12z Euro got significantly colder for Saturday:
-
I don't recall any borderline events in January 2011
-
12z UKMET is torching on Saturday.
-
I don't remember any snow in January 2010, maybe you meant February 2010? Specifically Feb 10th?
-
If anything the NAM will have you in the 40s meanwhile you hit 70. The NAM likes to overdo BDCF strength and western progression I think.
-
Which storm are you talking about?
-
Looks like the 12z GFS agrees with the ICON, it's even cooler than its 6z run and also cooler than the ICON depiction. Does the Euro have a warm bias when it comes to warm surges in the east in spring?
-
12z ICON actually got cooler compared to 0z for Saturday's highs: Though it's the ICON lol
-
Winter 2015 was still above to way above normal around the globe, we just happened to get the only major cold anomaly on the planet park over us for like two months.
