Sundog
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Everything posted by Sundog
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It's so common, who cares if we get one in March.
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Do people have a deep hatred for spring? The rarest days are 60s, which of course also happen to be my most favorite temps
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Because we're going to have another 120 days just like it
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The NAM went from 70 degrees to below freezing and some frozen precip for parts of southern New Hampshire in one run lol It still torches us here though and is WELL north of all other models.
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Meanwhile 6z NAM has 50 degrees on Saturday in Lake Placid hahaha
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The gradient in temps is wild, Bear Mountain near 80 and Adirondacks mid 20s and snow
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The Euro AI had a slower, less instense version of the ICON:
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The ICON was a huge torch yesterday but this morning's 6z run now has a hell of a sea breeze/easterly wind developing during the day and cools everyone down into the 40s:
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No one needs 80 in March. 60 degrees is already a bonus. There will be 5 months of 80+ weather, I think that's more than enough lol
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The GFS and ICON have near 80 degrees in southern NY and mid 20s with snow in the Adirondacks. That can't be a common sight to see.
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I don't think a single person "falls" for anything a model shows more than a couple days out. Even metfan. It might show something we wish to have verify but that doesn't mean we believe it will. For example I don't think I'll get snow until I'm within 24 hours of the event and/or there's a giant slug of precip on radar.
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Looks like I'll be testing the heat pumps this Saturday.
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I will disagree with the last part, even 50 degrees with Sun is VERY comfortable to do anything outdoors this time of year save water based activities.
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They want July in March because the masses have already become accustomed to Virginia March averages.
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The colder runs from the GFS yesterday were also blowing up a low off the coast of Nova Scotia down to the 970s, helping push down the colder air. With the most recent run at 6z, the low never gets going until it's 500 miles SE of Greenland, so no effects for us.
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Yes back door cold fronts are a new phenomenon
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By evening we're all back in the 40s, so it's a brief spike in temps
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The Euro AI was much cooler than the OP, but still warm for NJ:
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0z EURO even hotter!
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0z UKMET is a region wide torch:
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0z GFS still very chilly:
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Mid 30s on Saturday, now that's downright cold
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Just under three quarters here. A nice, steady, rain event.
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Looks like the 12z Euro got significantly colder for Saturday:
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I don't recall any borderline events in January 2011
