Jump to content

cptcatz

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,028

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by cptcatz

  1. cptcatz
    Convection has really blown up on 99L in the past few hours.
  2. cptcatz
    The 12z Euro has an interesting development of current 99L. It has it going north through the eastern Caribbean and then turning to the southwest before meandering a little. This could be an interesting one to watch.
  3. cptcatz
    Looks like the last few hours have it going due west.
  4. cptcatz
    According to the last few Euro runs, it has Karen forming off the coast of Africa and getting huge in the mid-Atlantic and Lorenzo forming in the southeast Caribbean, both within the next week or so.
  5. cptcatz
    Looks like the big kicker is how far north it gets before getting to the islands.
  6. cptcatz
    I'm still kind of new to tropical weather tracking, but is it even possible to predict activity getting closer to the coast? I thought actual tracks of the storms were more luck as the storm played out rather than being able to predict well weeks or months in advance.
  7. cptcatz
    Today's 12z Euro ends with 97L getting blocked just northeast of the Bahamas, even moving back south in the last frame. And then it has the next wave getting pretty strong way out in the Atlantic. Not sure what you people are saying about questioning the activity... it looks like wave after wave is developing now.
  8. cptcatz
    Is it me or does 95L look like it's getting better organized with every frame on satellite?
  9. cptcatz
    12z brings it right through the Bahamas including the islands that just got the eye of Dorian...
  10. cptcatz
    The 18z GFS decimates the entire state of Florida
  11. cptcatz
    Very interesting. This soon-to-be-95L could be another big one then.
  12. cptcatz
    It's almost the exact same route that Dorian took through the Caribbean. Does anyone know how the GFS and Euro looked at this point for Dorian? Tropical Tidbits only goes back to September 2. I'd love to see the models from mid-August.
  13. cptcatz
    He's just a late bloomer but eventually joins the party
  14. cptcatz
    The last two GFS runs now show the wave behind 94L becoming Dorian 2.0...
  15. cptcatz
    Now the 12z's Euro and GFS are in general agreement with a storm developing just north of Puerto Rico.
  16. cptcatz
    It looks like it stalls 94L but then kinda merges it with the wave behind it which then develops it into a nice storm but keeps it out to sea. Will be interesting to see how it plays out.
  17. cptcatz
    If it can stick together and make its way into the Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico, it could have the potential to really ramp up. I don't think Dorian caused any upwelling in those areas so the water should be prime for intensification.
  18. cptcatz
    Last two GFS runs (6z and 12z) now show it fizzling.
  19. cptcatz
    Because it would bring catastrophic storm surge flooding into Chesapeake Bay, NYC Harbor, and Boston Harbor, while bringing flooding rains and torrential winds to Washington, Baltimore, NJ, NYC, and Boston.
  20. cptcatz
    The worst possible track a hurricane can take?
  21. cptcatz
    ^Boston getting wrecked in 2.5 weeks But the tropics have really come alive! From right to left we have Tropical Depression 8, Invest 91L, Hurricane Dorian, Tropical Storm Fernand, and Hurricane Juliette:
  22. cptcatz
    Just something to keep in mind... these were the model tracks for Irma 2-3 days before it made the turn:
  23. cptcatz
    Looks like we have two more waves coming off Africa that the Euro really likes developing over the past few runs...
  24. cptcatz
    Obviously this is 2 weeks away so it really means nothing, but the GFS has the remnants of 92L going right over the same area.
×
×
  • Create New...