fluoronium

I wonder if the decrease in flights will cause a noticeable uptick in daily high temps during this heatwave. My area is absolutely scorched, less than an inch of rain in the past 40 days. I hope we can at least get a consolation derecho out of this.

finished June with less than an inch of rain my poor plants https://twitter.com/ILClimatologist/status/1278052191870300161

I'm really hoping I can get some rain in the next few days. While most areas nearby have been soaked, I've been missed by nearly everything and my area is bone dry. Even the crops are looking bad here at this point. There have been some interesting models runs regarding the low in Western IL, although this morning's runs weren't nearly as hopeful for that "inland hurricane" look.

I got missed by most of the rain yesterday and didn't even see a single flash of lightning clouds looked cool though at least. I can at least agree that 2020 has lacked lightning for my local area. That being said the last week of September 2019 brought me a couple of the most violent lightning storms I have ever witnessed, so not all hope is lost for me yet

Some nice towers going up here as well. If anything pops up close enough I'll take a drive to enjoy some lightning at least.

Quite a temp swing for Caribou this June!!

For what it's worth, the Spanish flu actually mutated to become much more deadly than what it was at the beginning of the pandemic. It did go on to become less deadly after that though, in some part due to the more severe strains killing people faster than it could spread. With the new coronavirus, there really isn't a driving force to cause the virus to become weaker in time. Incubation period is about 5 days, and for those who die, average time from symptoms to death is about 18 days. This means that people that have contracted a fatal case can still spend more than a week going about their daily activities, spreading the virus. With the Spanish flu, some people were dying the same day they showed their first symptoms, and this type of presentation limited spread. The coronavirus is a slow bake without a mechanism like this to favor weaker strains. I don't expect this virus to start killing young people in numbers like the Spanish flu. I am concerned, however, about the potential long term effects of the virus (lung/heart/nerve damage) or even autoimmune issues. I'm fairly young, but I'm avoiding this virus like the plague.

Sandy of the north

I chased the supercell that went over Washburn, IL earlier. I ended up getting right under the main rotation and there was some wicked motion. I can't wait to look through my footage on this one!

Peoria, IL recorded its 4th latest freeze on record. The damage is starting to show on the trees here. My hickories and tuliptree have lost half of their leaves already l love extreme weather, but I'd be happy to never see another May freeze here again. Maybe it's time I move south.

Another cold soaker of rain here today. I think I'm the outlier here in that I'll always welcome a late April washout as it makes the morel mushroom/spring garden season so much better I chased the same supercell that IllinoisWedges chased yesterday. No tornadoes but I had a bunch of fun regardless. I captured this insane lightning bolt on my dash cam on the way home.

I'm really enjoying this slow soaker of a rain storm here. Radar estimates of 2.5" so far here and higher amounts NW of Peoria. It was getting pretty dry and my plants weren't liking it. Plus this rain should really get the morel season going. This storm track would have been more appreciated in January though

Just switched to rain here doesn't look to switch back for a while either

First winter storm warning of the season here. Is this going to be the storm that finally beats the Halloween snow for the #1 spot?? In the past 3 years, I've had 3 winter storm warnings and 1 blizzard warning. Only one of those occurred during met or solar winter!! None of them were preceded by a watch. (winter weather advisory is the new winter storm watch, change my mind). I certainly don't envy the meteorologists at this point, trying to pinpoint a thread the needle event with insane cutoffs in accumulation. Everything about this is so incredibly absurd. How can this much snow be possible in April at 40°N and sub 1000ft elevations? Why do the thermal parameters struggle all winter but seem to line up just 2 months before solar maximum??? I don't like cold springs, but this is too wild and I hope I get crushed by the death band here. My weakest plants were probably already killed off in the snow yesterday. For those that need yet another model to fret over, the HRRRv4 is now live on the College of DuPage site.

Can't say I've ever picked morels in snow before!

3rd year in a row here with accumulating mid April snow Looks like it'll be a close cutoff with the next round!

This would be such a cursed way to end the 2019-2020 snow season as it would finally dethrone Halloween for the biggest snow of the season IMBY. Seems totally ridiculous, but the past two Aprils have brought significant snows to my area so I'm not ruling out a couple inches of snow here. HRRR is showing some convective now over northern IL/WI today too

I ended up taking a short drive north to intercept some of the snow squalls and it was incredible!!

Got clipped by one of the showers and had snowflakes mixing in while the temp was 49F!! By far the warmest temp I've seen with snow falling. LOT even hinting at the possibility of severe thundersnow (would likely be warned as a snow squall though)

It has snowed all day here (and still is) but the accumulation has not gotten over 1". There are reports of near 6" just 25 miles to my east though!

This is the most consistent model signal for accumulating snow IMBY I've had this season. I'm hoping I'll see at least a brief period of heavy snow out of this.

It's been dumping snow all morning here but like recent snows, most of it is melting after it hits and there is a little under an inch on the ground. Roads are slick in many places though and I saw a handful of wrecks on i74 a half hour ago. Nice big flakes and sticking to the trees so I'm definitely not complaining.

I know things are trending bad for most here but I have a good feeling about where I'm sitting. Disregarding the models and pretty much any thread of scientific reasoning, I'm predicting that PIA will reach 4" solely based on the fact that the temp reached 59F there yesterday. I did a quick comb through of the data and it looks like EVERY recent 4"+ snowfall has been preceded by a warm spell immediately before it. October 2019: 64F on the 27th, 50F on the 28th, and 4.2" snow on the 30th-31st April 2019: 73F on the 11th, 53F on the 12th, 56F on the 13th, and 5.0" on snow on the 14th (plus 75F and 78F two and three days later) January 2019: 61F on the 7th, 47F on the 8th, 11.2" of snow on the 11th-13th November 2018: 56F on the 24th, 4.6" on the 25th-27th March 2018: 54F on the 22nd, 51F on the 23rd, 9.1" on the 23rd-24th The streak began in March 2018 it looks like, because in the February before it there was a 4" snowfall where the temp the day before only got to 45F. Also WTF why did 4 out of the 5 biggest snows fall outside of winter? My prediction of 4" is bold, since 4.3" would actually beat Halloween for the highest of the season.

Ended up with about 3.5" which is less than I expected, but the wet nature of the snow meant it stuck to the trees like concrete and is not coming off in the wind. It looks beautiful! I'd take a snow like this over 6" of fluff any day. Yesterday was the second snowiest day of the season at PIA, behind Halloween.

Lincoln, IL is reporting 33F and heavy rain as of 15 minutes ago so maybe that's why radarscope P-type is showing rain, but most mPING reports in the green are snow. Local roads are already snow covered and visibility is around 1/2 mile here.