fluoronium

Upcoming torch is looking really nice about now. A lot of areas are going to get much needed rainfall.

weenie mode activated

I'm still salty about this day. (october 11 that is) I got trolled by some linear garbage with weak couplets to the southwest. I was out of range when that minisup fired and flew towards roanoke, even though it was closer to where I was living at the time than where I was chasing. As for my favorite day, that's a hard choice. I saw 7 tornadoes on august 9, 2021 so that day is up there. GHD III was great though because I bought my dream property because of it. The snow kept others from visiting so I could put in an offer and buy it without going into a bidding war.

Brutal going directly from beautiful warm temps to CAD season without any exciting event in between. That stretch of nice weather was great though and I got a lot done in the yard.

^ I saw this run and immediately conceded to weenie season. I wouldn't mind a redo of the Halloween 2019 snowstorm. Fall colors plus fresh snow is hard to beat.

this storm was preceded by a huge tornado outbreak (for January) which makes it the ideal snowstorm for me too https://www.weather.gov/dvn/01241967_tornadooutbreak

Lots of lightning over arkansas and missouri with the snow and ice.

Solid chance for severe weather on twosday in the southern parts of this subforum. I'd love to start chase season in February this year, and then follow it up with another snowstorm afterwards.

NAM casually suggesting tornado potential over areas with snow still on the ground

The snowfall rates in this storm were really impressive, although I have no idea how much actually fell due to the drifting. I can't remember the last time I've had two big snows just two weeks from each other. It's definitely nice to get some good winter weather after a snowless December and January. I love driving around when everything looks so frozen and desolate.

This final death band has been extremely impressive. Excellent finale to an awesome storm.

It's impossible to make a good snow depth measurement due to all the drifting. The snow hit full force around 10AM and it hasn't let up in since. Even if official totals end up lower than GHD 3 here, this storm is going to be a lot more memorable due to the crazy snowfall rates and the bulk of the snow falling during the day.

Graupel mixing in after being snow all day. I'm hoping this means I might get some thundersnow after all.

Absolutely dumping pixie dust right now. Heaviest snow rates of the season for me.

I'm sitting pretty much in the bullseye for snow totals right now. It would be crazy to get two major storms back to back in just two weeks. I've seen places to my north get hammered repeatedly in recent Februrarys so it's nice to finally cash in on the snow train! The icing on the cake would be thundersnow, but it seems models have down trended the instability as the storm gets closer.

06Z NAM still had good overlap of instability in areas receiving snow and sleet. I'm really hoping we get some thundersnow out of this. I'm willing to drive to see it if it doesn't happen directly over my area.

What do you look for on a forecast sounding to identify thundersnow potential? I see the NAM has mid level lapse rates in excess of 7C/km and MUCAPE values over 100J/kg in areas receiving frozen precip. There is a lot of shear as well. Is there anything else to be looking for?

NAM is quite generous with upright instability in areas receiving frozen precip. All of the models have substantial frozen precip rates regardless of where the storm ends up. Maybe there's a good shot at thundersnow somewhere with this???

I managed to squeeze out about 10" here. Ratios were a lot lower than models predicted (as was suggested by people here in the days leading up to the storm) It wasn't the historic monster I had hoped, but it was still the biggest snow for me in 3 years so I can't complain.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0104.html

I'm near Goodfield, which is between Peoria and Bloomington.

Wow it's absolutely dumping snow here now. I don't know how I'm going to manage to sleep tonight.

Switching over now, very slippery layer of frozen slush on paved surfaces. Untreated roads are slick in spots as well. I don't think the warm day did much thawing of the ground. I guess those days going below zero with a bare ground have paid off. HRRR, NAM, and 3km NAM have me right in the bullseye for the biggest snow storm of my life.

ILX is mentioning a possible upgrade to blizzard warning for round two.

y break up the threads though