JustinRP37
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Everything posted by JustinRP37
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Very hard to have a heat wave like we just had. I've learned to never say never, but I could see many 3 day heat waves this summer.
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We begin building heat again next Saturday and beyond. No 70s in the forecast.
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It's not just about your backyard. Boston area was around 100 today and Burlington VT did not go below 80 last night. This is the equivalent of you yelling about the media going on about a northeast blizzard when you get rain while Boston, Hartford, and Albany are buried under 3 feet.
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The AC is struggling in this M3 relic of a metro north train. Hot and humid in multiple cars of the train. You know it is sticky when you can hear human flesh peeling off the seats at each stop…
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While still hot and much above average, the Euro completely failed with temps this week. Even the "over the top" warming looks less impressive. Most of the city will struggle to get 3+ days in the 90s. The shore will be 'cooler'. Thankfully my nephew is at a sailing camp this week with no ac, so that will be good for him at least. Looking forward though it looks like the cool mornings are over and we are in the Florida like dew period we have become accustomed too.
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While still hot and much above average, the Euro completely failed with temps this week. Even the "over the top" warming looks less impressive. Most of the city will struggle to get 3+ days in the 90s. I do not think the park will see a heat wave. Looking forward though it looks like the cool mornings are over and we are in the Florida like dew period we have become accustomed too.
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Not to mention the ocean water is still cold to my likes. Then again if it is 100, freezing my you know what may be better.
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I mean it will be a cool down from 100s, but still above average. I suppose once you have been that warm mid 80s will feel chilly. My AC tuneup was going to be tomorrow, they rescheduled for the 22nd because of the number of emergency calls they are already getting as people turn on their ac for the first time this season. I am hoping mine is fine, but I am worried the refrigerant might be a bit low (hopefully no coil leak).
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If we can avoid the super high dews, then the nights should allow AC's to catch up overnight. But if we get the high dews it may limit the high 90s/low 100 potential but would keep lows in the upper 70s swamp central. I'd be more than happy with lower 90s with moderate dews, but I feel like our options are lower 90s with 70 dews or upper 90s/low 100s and 60 dews. At least this will take the "chill" out of the swimming pools in the area.
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They might be shareholders in ConEd or Eversouce . I'm with you, the past few weeks have been glorious minus the trees having sex in public.
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If we use Central Park for 90 degrees then yeah. That site hasn’t represented Manhattan climate in awhile. It is literally in dense canopy. All I’m saying is calling for 5-11 days of 90+ in early June, when 90 degree days happen well into September is pretty bold call. Especially with guidance looking the way it looks right now. Most of the long range guidance continues to show plenty of chances at 90 just this month.
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Not always! I was very optimistic this past winter! Older I get the more I appreciated the cold cold weather with lots of snow. I do like the hot weather too but only when I am near water. This past week has been incredible with warm days and cool to cold nights. On the flip side I do usually talk about tick-borne and mosquito-borne diseases a lot this time of year.
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I was referring to the 5-11 90+ degree days. Might have the 5 by the end of next week.
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This isn’t going to age very well looking at the long term.
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I'm definitely taking the under on this. El Niño to La Niña are typically very hot summers and even with a "cool" pattern we are still solidly above average (many of our highs as well have been just above normal). Back door fronts also tend to disappear by the time we get to late June. I think once the humidity kicks on, it is wall to wall 80s-90s all summer. Models are already hinting at this.
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Lots of lightning here on the Patterson, Pawling border. Not much rain yet.
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Oh goodie I was just wondering when we would receive our next round of urban flooding. Our parkways haven't been underwater in a few months. /s
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The models for warming have actually been consistently under estimating the amount of warming. Even this month is roughly average (with the elevated averages). We are just feeling it more because our daytime departures have been normal or below, while overnight lows drive the departure. Most climatologists did predict that the northeast would see more spring blocking with a warming climate. But note that even with overall planet warming, the AMOC slowing is going to change the temperature in the northern hemisphere in a big way. Right now it moves a TON of warmth into the northern hemisphere. If that continues to slow and break down (thanks to the melting off Greenland), then we will see a big change to cold, especially in Europe. Many papers in the scientific literature about it in the past few years, but here is one from Popular Mechanics: https://www.popularmechanics.com/science/environment/a46989602/amoc-collapse/.
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It’s all part of the water cycle. We aren’t getting rid of the issue. I’m well aware of sea level rise as I’m and environmental scientist. As for pollination there is no “excess” in pollination. Wind pollinated plants don’t have the option to pinpoint where their pollen goes. Until wind pollinators grow penises they must make an abundance of pollen to even have a shot at successfully mating. Then we have a whole issue with insect pollinating plants losing their pollinators because of the non-target effects of pesticides. It really isn’t an easy solution to any of our problems. But blasting water to space is not a wise idea as it is a larger energy reserve than even all the fossil fuels on the planet. It stores so much heat. Lose that and we have huge issues.
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You do realize people have different allergies right? Are we supposed to eliminate all the trees? Fruit trees cause allergies, pine trees cause allergies, cat dander cause allergies, mold spores, grass, etc. also the big increase in allergies is more so a product of us using non-native trees and plants. This is huge in cities where we bring in “urban specialist” trees that can survive in the harsher environments. Siphoning off water to space wouldn’t decrease precipitation. The issue is heat not the amount of water. The oceans have far more heat content in them than in the recent past which increases global humidity and this precipitation. Siphoning off water won’t change that.
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That would still kill off our aquatic life here as it is outside their tolerance levels. Our fish are not tropical. Besides don't you like winter? Regardless yes, it will happen, but hopefully not in my lifetime. Once atmospheric CO2 levels reach 750ppm acidification will prevent corals from building reefs and shellfish won't be able to make shells (so dead).
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So we can kill of aquatic life faster???
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Weird how in winter the models always correct warmer as we get closer to a date and in April they always correct cooler and wetter for the past many years now. I’ll die on the hill that April is our worst weather month.
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Tuesday honestly could be a sneaky just barely 80 if we get enough sun. We always seem to over perform this time of year if the winds are low and the sun is out longer before any clouds roll in.
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It’s interesting how lately it is almost like clockwork that our Aprils are below average for temps and wetter than average.
