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JustinRP37

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Everything posted by JustinRP37

  1. This is a very poor definition to go by because even in our hottest climates, plants will go dormant during the dry season. Cold temperature is not the only thing that forces biological life into dormancy, dry seasons do too as do the hot seasons. Take a look at the list of climates on wikipedia and see which one matches up with NYC "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Köppen_climate_classification"
  2. As an ecologist your 'textbook' definition is not what the Koppen system uses. You are also being a little too narrow in your definition of adjacent. What is the immediate climate to our south if not subtropical? North Carolina most definitely has a subtropical climate, yet they are still hundreds of miles from the true 'tropics'. Also, ocean modify climate in a huge way. If you drive directly west of NYC, would you not think the weather is far different? This time of year, you can board a train in GCT and head to the closer northern suburbs and also experience a completely different temperature. When we say NYC is subtropical, we do not mean all the way up to Albany. The next northern climate definition is humid continental climate. The temperature definition for humid continental climate is the coldest month MUST average between 32F and 26.6F. Manhattan DOES NOT experience this on a regular basis anymore. A humid subtropical climate "A humid subtropical climate is a zone of climate characterized by hot and humid summers, and cool to mild winters. These climates normally lie on the southeast side of all continents, generally between latitudes 25° and 40° (sometimes 46°) and are located poleward from adjacent tropical climates." NOTE NYC IS AT 40.7° N. Parts of Europe are even further north and are subtropical. If you don't like the term subtropical, you can call it warm temperate. The coldest month in a humid subtropical climate can still average between 32F and 27F, but the warmest month must average 72F or higher. NYC has had this in every summer in recent history. If you feel that science is not right, you can research the issue and publish your findings.
  3. That doesn’t sound good! Heart palpitations can be stress induced, but there is also Lyme carditis (https://www.cdc.gov/lyme/treatment/lymecarditis.html) to be on the look out for. Ticks are definitely responsible for more disease in our latitude than mosquitoes. It could also be that rock and roll lifestyle haha. But getting outside is still one of the healthiest things we can do.
  4. It is difficult for a variety of reasons (not to mention a very bad idea). It is very difficult to target just a single type of insect. No matter how we do it, there are often non-target species that die off. In Florida they have released GMO mosquitos that will hopefully reduce the population. But more on the ecology side, we don’t want to make mosquitoes extinct. The larval stage feeds tons of amphibians and fish. They are quite beneficial to aquatic systems. We could work to control the larvae stage through fish, etc and many areas do this. You can stock a small pond with fish that will consume abundant larvae. The adult stage as well fed a variety of organisms. While we hate them, and believe me, I get bit aa ton, they are beneficial. Once disease starts spreading though, you Weill see health departments start spraying. NJ actually has one of the best mosquito programs in the country.
  5. Vector disease ecologist here, and yeah NYC is definitely now in the subtropical category. The humid continental climate now begins just north of the city. This isn't anyone "re-defining" anything. Overnight low temperatures have increased dramatically. Our daytime highs is NOT where we have seen the most substantial increases.
  6. Water coming in our new windows and freshly painted bedroom. Sigh we are getting ready for a move. Don’t need more damage. Gonna try to sleep. This is intense. Never have I seen rain this hard for this long.
  7. The white circle around the S indicates post-tropical storm not tropical storm. Meaning it won’t be a warm core storm. Still sizable but the terminology can be confusing.
  8. Well DeBlasio telling people to stand in a field during a thunderstorm is up there too. Only thing missing was asking people to stand near a metal flagpole.
  9. I am shocked to see so many writing this storm off especially on the waste of time that is social media. This is going to be a very serious storm for most of CT and parts of LI. The ground is already completely saturated from Fred. I’ve been in central CT and we still have roads that had huge issues Thursday. The power companies are struggling to stay ahead for preps.
  10. It is a deceptive map. It is 1-year change in SST map, not a SST anomaly. Last year was very warm, and this year is still above average too.
  11. This is the first summer of my life I can’t wait to end. This pattern has to break at some point. Dreary weather in the midst of summer is brutal. I really feel for seasonal businesses this year, especially after a tough 2020.
  12. While I am a summer and winter enthusiast, this summer has been in the bottom for me. I really hope we can pull of a dry, beautiful fall after this gross summer. The standing water has really increased the mosquito population to the point where it is uncomfortable too go outside near wet areas. The ticks have also been off the charts, but that was predicted after the winter we had. Luckily this summer I have an administrative and teaching role otherwise I’d be out there collecting ticks for surveillance. While I normally enjoy some field work, this summer is worse than most. Bottom line though, always check for ticks!
  13. Which is exactly average for them! https://www.foresthillweather.com/PHP/Metar2/AntarcticaAverages.php Pretty intense weather to experience.
  14. It will always be easier to get hotter with drier air, hence Seattle.
  15. I’ve spent a lot of time in Florida during my life and the biggest difference is they still actually see sunshine on days when it rains. I feel like we are more tropical rain forest like with rain every few hours and constant clouds. Lately once it starts to rain it just doesn’t let up. So far this has not been an enjoyable summer for seasonal businesses, pools, golf courses, etc.
  16. This weather is so bizarre for July. 43 degrees colder than just a few days ago. Absolutely stunning.
  17. It’s a huge player. Problem is our warm layer is very shallow so one storm will bring temps way down. Also ND and Newfoundland don’t get hit regularly. Many times the storms are already post-tropical when they make landfall up there. That’s also why a slow moving storm up the coast with cool SSTs will die out much faster than a fast mover.
  18. Based on their data though it seems to have a cold bias. Also, the same can literally be said for every weather model in existence: "sometimes they are the worst, sometimes they are the best, and most of the time they are in the middle."
  19. Hold up… You of all people did not insist on a winter wedding? I for sure thought when you were tying the knot you’d be getting married on top of Mount Washington in February! Congrats though!
  20. It is June and less than a week into “summer”. Don’t think we can say that. It would be like saying no record cold this winter on December 29th.
  21. A quick hike down to the nude beach will cure that boredom… /s
  22. Those would be dewpoints on that map…
  23. Why do so many of us northerners pretend that sea level rise will not affect our region? New Jersey, NYC, Long Island, etc are all at a major risk for sea level rise. Sure Florida is in big trouble but we can't pretend that our infrastructure is ready for climate change either. After all CT leads the nation power grid disruption with the majors storms we have experienced during the past decade. Lower Manhattan is especially prone to flooding as are the subway tunnels as Hurricane Sandy showed us. Sunny day flooding events are up all along the Jersey shore. Let's also point out that over the past decade the tri-state has had more direct effects from tropical systems than the eastern shore of Florida. All regions have risks from climate change, but I won't bet my life savings on Albany or Buffalo becoming major draws in the next 20-30 years.
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