JustinRP37
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Everything posted by JustinRP37
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And we also could still be. The two lows is interesting but may not be correct.
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It's why I feel comfortable saying 6-10. Could adjust up or down though. If I had to guess, and say if it is more likely to go up or down, I would say up based on the atmosphere. However, I feel comfortable with 6-10.
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I mean I'm not that sad...
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I like 6-10 for the city, quickly dropping off west and especially in NW NJ. Westchester I like 6-10 and towards the 10 south and east. Fairfield County 8-14, more towards Bridgeport, and then that is where we pick up more. NW CT I think is in the 4-10 range. One thing is for certain, this storm is a pain in the a to the double s. I do not like this one bit.
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It is kind of funny that you can predict just who will post based on what the models are showing. Not as much snow leads to one set of posters, more snow leads to others. The true winners are the one that practice meteorology over modelorogy. This is still a significant event for the majority of the subforum. Please don't downplay it just because you live west. There is still time before this begin and we have seen some dramatic shift both positive and negative as a storm starts to bomb.
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East of what part of 287? 287 is a loop from Port Chester through Central Jersey. I’d say from the western side of 287 east we see clear warning level snows.
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Way too many people saying East before a run has even printed. Please think before you type. It’s getting ridiculous. We have clearly seen some good output today.
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Again most models are still showing this to be a decent storm for NYC and eastern metro. This will likely bring NYC up to the season average for the date, which is pretty good seeing where we are this season. People need to stop acting like this won't be a storm unless we get 2+ feet.
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The people saying it is the same, please make an appointment with an eye doctor. Then take a course on geography.
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No you don’t. Then we would have very boring weather.
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Rockland I think is less, but Westchester should still see 4-8 with eastern Westchester doing the best. It will still be a fun day I think.
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I don't know... Population wise, I'd say far more people are in the snow zone than out of it. Long Island and coastal CT are definitely in our forum area and the metropolitan area. As is coastal NJ. Sorry for the inland, north and west folks.
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This run is still fantastic for MOST of the Metro Area. Everyone needs to practice some meditation and breath. Looking at the snow maps that will still be a day with many airline cancellations and travel disruptions. It will be a perfect day to head outside and enjoy a snowfall! Who knows, maybe once we really start seeing more data, the models will shift a bit west. No amount of getting upset will change the weather.
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Holy crap we cancel storms now if they are less than 2 feet? A 3-8 inch snowfall is STILL a significant amount of snow for the metro area. Granted we all want a blockbuster, but let's get real. This is a nice storm still in an otherwise dry winter. It looks to bring NYC up to AVERAGE for the time of year for snowfall.
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Sometimes having too many cooks in the kitchen is not a good thing. Even worse having all those cooks in the kitchen making for for 4+ days later. We want models to go out further yet their predictive power goes down exponentially the further out they go.
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Honestly, don't pour concrete in February. You won't have a period of sustained 27+ temperatures and pouring when cold substantially increases the risk of cracking. It is 100% not worth it for an investment of this size. Even if February torches to daytime temps of 45+, nights can still be cold to frigid.
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Rank the following: Winter, snow, cold, warm, baseball, and beach. I know you are big into baseball so I'm curious to see your ranking of these!
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We have already seen snow this month and we aren't far from normal January snowfall... For the season we are still below average, but I am personally impressed that there is still snow on the ground in Armonk in most wooded areas from the earlier storm.
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I’m just saying it is interesting to see MJO with the snow goggles, you with the sunglasses, and the majority of people discussing various results from cold to warm although there is a slight cold bias overall. No offense to anyone haha
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I normally don't post about the LR, and I typically do appreciate your posts, but have you ever once showed anything that is either normal or cold? LR forecasts for January really busted hard just as those cold calls for December busted hard. This year the LR has abysmal performance despite what anyone says. Based on what I have seen, I am thinking that February will wind up closer to normal with a typical thaw week. I do think there will be storm chances or even just small nuisance storms.
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Anyone thinking that we can't go from single digits and low teens to above freezing quickly clearly wasn't looking at thermometers around the area today as the winds shifted to off the water. The ocean is still much above normal for this time of year, which given the right storm track could throw much more moisture back our way, but given a bad storm track could quickly warm us up.
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Yeah the very warm December brought some things back out. Well now that has been dealt with. Usually you start worrying about Monarch butterflies in the early fall if you still see them here. They have to leave for Mexico!
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Snow is a great insulator and prevent desiccation of insects and arachnids overwintering. Extreme cold with no snow cover can kill them. If you hate ticks you don’t want a lot of snow on the ground when we get the frigid weather. This weekend may beat some back!
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Think 7 pages for this may be a new record for the board.
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At my parents for the holiday! It’s a white Christmas in central Connecticut! My three year old son is absolutely loving it! I really do hope we get some nice winter weather in January-March. Happy Holidays everyone! I hope that the next year brings us all health, positivity, and the weather that we all want!
