JustinRP37

So much this. It is odd because my relatives in Ohio all think we are like upstate, meanwhile downstate is warmer than most for Ohio. Parts of upstate get far more snow than even some of the snowier mountains of New England. New York is a pretty awesome state geographically. Especially this time of year. There are plenty of days it can be very warm downstate, meanwhile the ski areas in the Adirondacks have plenty of snow. Killington's snowiest month in VT is actually March! Winter is definitely not over for the mountains. Killington will likely be skiing into mid-May once again. Most of the mountains will probably make mid-April. Lots to do around the area. It is just an odd perspective so many have in the metro that we can't easily get out of town.

From just north of Albany to northern New England, March is typically the snowiest month. We too have had some epic Marches in souther New York/New England. What I am seeing on the models shows a fairly typical March from what I can tell. Anyone with a season ski pass to Killington or an Epic pass should have some great weekends this month.

Well it is March… March and April are the two most unpredictable weather months and often the gloomiest.

The models were not that bad. This was what I expected for a large chunk of the area. And Snowman was certainly not correct either. Lots of local ski areas reported 5+ inches before a change to sleet. It looks like winter in southern and northern Westchester this morning. Stop the bickering. This has been a decent winter so far. (Outside of December)

Why’d I get weenied for literally saying what guidance is? Hear me out if you hate winter move… plenty of areas don’t get winter. If you hate summer move further north, still plenty of areas.

Looks good for 2-4 in Westchester with a shift to alert and freezing rain. Don’t know why it is all doom and gloom in here. Ski areas look like they will get some natural and also be able to fire up the guns to prolong the season a few more weeks.

Teaching this stuff at the university level I really do not understand how people deny it. We all learn in physics that for every action there is an equal and opposite reaction as well as energy can neither be created nor destroyed. However, a large subset of the population wants to believe that these basic laws of physics do not apply to fossil fuel combustions. That billions of internal combustion engines and furnaces have absolutely no effect on our climate or biosphere. It is truly mind-boggling and at times down right depressing. The earth is truly a magical planet and our weather is extremely interesting.

https://www.mohawkmtn.com/the-mountain/webcam/ It is snowing a blizzard today at our local mountains!

I hate how last summer was terribly rainy and tough for outdoor seasonal businesses and now winter businesses will similarly have a tougher time. Ski areas largely missed December, but then had a great January, but with so many days well up into the 50s over the next few weeks it will be hard to keep a good snow base. Think it might be time to head further north for better seasons.

Groundhog was wrong once again. This month looking to finish much above normal for temps. Base state is always going to be above normal.

Guess I better get my protractor warmed up for the season…

Icing up outside here now, but roads are in pretty good shape. They dump so much salt down though. The past two days have been the worst weather days for comfort in a long time. I absolutely hate this type of weather. Give me snow or torch.

Except the thing is very few schools are doing remote learning during “snow days”. That’s the thing though we knew around the city when you wake up to 54 degrees and a relatively clear radar that you could have gotten in at least a half day of school. Also odd is many districts in Westchester have used almost all their snow days already.

Much different setup though. I would have never gotten today off as a child growing up. Hate to sound like the “back in my day” person but it is shocking how low the threshold is to close schools now.

I understand about being cautious but the number of closures today is absolutely ridiculous. Roads are still warm from last night plus they are out salting. Doesn’t really turn bitter until well after dinner in most of the metro. (Normal dinner time not City 8-10PM dinner time)

This outcome is really odd based on their 6-10 day, 8-14 day, and weeks 3-4 outlook. The 6-10 and 8-14 day for our area is below average temperature and weeks 3-4 is equal chances. They must be banking on some really warm days towards the end of the month, but then again the weeks 3-4 outlook should hint at this and be above normal. If we are above normal, I think it will be within 1F. Edit: the 8-14 day is slightly above.

This turned out to be one of my favorite winter months in a long time. Nice sustained cold, tons of machine made snow on the ski areas all topped with amazing powdery snow this weekend. This is what winter should be!

This aged welL haha

Wow this devolved into name calling about something we literally have no control over all.

Those error bars are mighty large. I wouldn’t put much faith in any pattern from the models over 10 days out warm or cold as we have consistently seen. I’ve eaten a lot of crow this year already thinking December would be average and January slightly above. Once December was so warm I didn’t anticipate such a huge reversal given the models. They have not been good in the long range. My advice, roll with it. We had a great winter storm today and January has been a true winter month which has been amazing. Honestly looking at the pattern I think February will be around average (given DJF and average overall temp) and a cooler March. That’s my two cents for now.

Yeah it is already insane. I wanted to go to Ski Sundown to teach my son since I learned there but they sold out on Thursday for Sunday lift tickets. I expect tomorrow to be very busy at Mohawk with this Aspen-like powder. Hopefully my son loves it. We played all day, so I have a feeling he will have a great day. Loved ice skating last weekend!

What a storm. Rode it out in Central CT with my parents so we can take my son to Mohawk Mountain tomorrow to get him on skis. He is 3 and loving the snow. Great storm and nobody tainted! Downright cold now!

Did someone really try to say the GFS was right with this storm? If we all listened to the GFS then all the metro would have needed is some salt for the roads. The GFS was not right with the low placement until it started to cave. Euro was much better. And the model outputs we’re okay except when people looked at kuchera which exaggerated the totals as usual. Oh and it is still going to snow for awhile…

After looking at the models the past few days, I think they need a 5 day covid quarantine. They have to be sick with how they handled this system. Maybe we should try the good old system restart haha. Still it is turning out to be quite a fun storm.

I don’t think NWS is using Kuchera amounts…