JustinRP37
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Everything posted by JustinRP37
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Don’t worry, we signed my son up for baseball again. It will rain every weekend starting in April and lasting until June. This is the Ball model and is amazingly accurate for spring.
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I think that is right because it was before my son was born.
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Very true, but it wasn’t that long ago we had that record breaking cold snap in mid March even down to the coast with night temps dipping to the single digits. I remember because I was in Vermont and opted for a spa day with my wife since it was in the single digits with below zero wind chills. That was an insane March. I’d have to look at my photo album for when that was.
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Jesus Christ some people are unbearable lately on here. I get that many are sick of winter but wishing it away isn’t going to work. Why, suddenly, are so many people saying winters end in mid February in our region? That is statistically and categorically false. On a probability standpoint we just past the most snowy portion of winter. It doesn’t completely drop off. Growing up St. Patty’s day really felt like the end of winter with ski areas turning more to slush and yards melting. I’d be very very shocked if we put up a goose egg the rest of winter.
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Been reading some about the incoming El Niño and some good researchers are saying this looks like it could lead to 2026-2028 being really warm especially in the summer. I do think that with as dry as the whole US has been that once we turn warm we will be pretty hot. I am not ready for ski season to end, so all this talk of everyone being done with winter isn’t accurate. Plus we have the Winter Olympics going on!
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Ahh no. Sun is no where near August 10th. We still have more darkness than daylight. We are still in November sun. 6 weeks to the equinox. Sorry to burst your bubble.
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Advanced degrees are different. A bachelor’s it is incredibly difficult to fail out of if you keep showing up. Masters and PhDs and MDs do have a lot not mae it for various reasons. But the sad thing is we are seeing very few males in STEM. I have very few males in many of my classes now.
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Exactly. Sadly nowadays even a degree doesn’t mean much. It is very hard to “fail” someone out of a degree these days. There is so much “support” to help even the weakest minds through. Failing at the basics while still earning a science degree is very much achievable now.
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I’m a skier and also love getting outside once spring gets going. However, I honestly think April is the worst month of the year. Mist, grey, warm to cold and back again, mud, and flies… better to go out to Arizona to golf in April.
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I think the CPC climate maps cause confusion for many. They are simply probabilities and should not be red and blue. People seem to think they are actual magnitudes. “Oh look dark red for this area, it’s going to torch!” Meanwhile the forecast is for 38-42 or a touch above. Same thing in July then it looks dark blue for 90-100% chance of below normal and the highs are 80-84. Below normal but just by a touch. They should also have a corresponding map that would show the estimated departure range. Just a thought since I see those tossed around a lot.
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It definitely has been a stein winter. I really cannot remember a winter with as many blue bird days. Really incredible.
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For those saying it likely won’t be this cold again… congrats. Coldest temps in years usually don’t occur multiple times, especially heading towards the back half of winter. Meteorologically, that is like saying after a tropical storm that we likely won’t see another one that year. Not that hard to say. As for those saying that is the end of winter and we go to spring now, we aren’t even at President’s Day! We moderate, but it stays fairly close to normal except for a few days above. It will feel like spring given where we have been, but I think March could be a great season for the Vermont ski areas this year. After all, March is Killington’s biggest snowfall month.
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My son had a hockey game at daybreak this morning. Gorgeous morning. Yes it was cold but it was tranquil. Maybe I need to move to Alberta or Nunavut. This week is going to feel like a heat wave.
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Yes, read some studies how some need to be below zero before they start to die off. Snow and ice insulate well. But with the last few winters some pushed quite far north.
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Same the Asian ladybugs. They were coming out at my house again. So weird.
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As a vector disease ecologist I could not agree more. However, the snow cover will insulate the little bastards. Would be nice to have cold like this in November to really decrease the numbers. But this cold should also kill off some of our invasive mosquito species somewhat.
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This winter has been damn good for skiing. Sure we need more snow but for once we aren’t getting snow followed by warm temps turning the slopes icy. I know many are obsessed with having more falling but I personally like the cumulative snow cover and this is impressive. Sure I want more snow but I’d be even happier if we just stay cold with the occasional refresher. But I won’t turn more down either.
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I took some time away from working from home this afternoon to use the snowblower to clear a path to the oil and propane fills. Looking ahead it looks like we will have a decent pack on the ground middle of the month when I am due for both! Snow was still pretty fluffy here and easy to move. About 9 inches still on the ground. Was happy I could cut through a big snow bank to the road though. I do feel bad for the oil men when people don't clear a path. I know it can't be fun searching for the fill.
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Plows went by my house this morning pushing the snow back further. Weird to do this without a true threat on the horizon yet, but I guess they want to push it back before the next deep freeze.
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I’m so confused by what is all going down in here. Normally I come here for more sensible discussions from the ny metro area. This has been a pretty great winter overall compared to the last half decade, but it has been dry. I see some moderation after this next cold shot, but I definitely don’t think winter’s back is broken. Some of the models are already hinting that the moderation may be short-lived. But today was about the best skiing at Belleayre I have ever had. Their snow depth is literally insane with also snowmaking whales 10+ feet high on many trails. I would absolutely be completely shocked if any of the Northeast gets shutout for the rest of the season. At a minimum I think we will see a few smaller snowfalls.
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Today was about the best skiing at Belleayre I have ever had. Their snow depth is literally insane with also snowmaking whales 10+ feet high on many trails. The snow was also amazing. Even did some tree skiing in the glades. Go out and enjoy it!
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It is amazing. People who start talking about fall on August 2nd would be chewed up and spit out of here. Then again this winter has already been longer than the past several . It is absolutely wild how on February 2nd, people see a relaxation in the pattern and immediately it is time for spring.
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On the flip side the same can be said now with heat related health issues now. June and into July last summer were quite deadly. Point I’m trying to make is our winters have been growing shorter if you look at open and close dates for ski areas. The media tends to really go on and on about the cold but even when heat reaches oppressive levels they are much less in your face about it. My wife has also finally convinced me that I need to use moisturizer haha.
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It’s one reason why the internet is garbage for weather. It’s become like a damn spectator sport and hype machine. According to the weather media we should have all been dead from starvation if we didn’t stock up on groceries before the storm.
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I always say to enjoy the coldest temps of the year around here. Most years now they don't last long and then we will be roasting in humidity and heat for many months. The cold this year has been great. Skiing has been nice, and the sun makes it feel not so bad. It has been impressively sunny. Some love to complain about the weather no matter what it does. There is only bad gear and bad attitudes. Only weather that truly demoralizes me is constant mist/rain between 34-50 that we seem to get for weeks in April now.
