JustinRP37

I think this will end up being our hottest stretch of the summer. The extended looks warm to borderline hot, but does not look exceptional. I’m fine with that, but honestly I will take anything if it means the back door gunk is done for awhile.

This week’s weather does not look as hot or prolonged as we originally thought. Looking like upper 70s low 80s for me by Thursday. Mid 90s Monday and Tuesday. That is if the models that didn’t get today right are right. Also looks like a quite cloudy week ahead. It does look humid though all week.

No you are confusing latest sunset and longest day. The longest day is always on the solstice. We peak tomorrow in Manhattan at 15h5m38s, we lose a second by the 21st. By the 26th we have lost a full minute. Same as winter: https://sunrise-sunset.org/a/why-the-shortest-day-is-not-the-day-with-the-earliest-sunset-or-latest-sunrise.

It really has been feeling like Groundhog Day. Everyday is the same gloomy morning. This morning though it feels like soup outside.

I mean it is going to be quite the head fake from constant gloom and 60s to even the 90s...

Most of the branch lines are diesel. Hudson line from Croton to Poughkeepsie, Southeast to Wassaic, Danbury branch, Waterbury branch, and the Hartford line are all diesel. We are getting new Siemens locomotives too.

It is bad enough on some of the diesel hauled coaches when the AC is on the fritz with 70s outside. I expect to see big rail issues next week. Third rail/caternary issues, coaches with no AC, you name it.

I think they are thinking low 90s, not what the models are printing out. When I told a few that we could have a few days over 100 they didn’t believe me. But if the dews are also high, that will really cause power issues, if it is a drier heat, we should be able to handle it. I do see schools that are still in session closing though (although this is a good lesson as to why they should stick to a normal school year if their buildings are not air conditioned and not go until the end of June, but I digress).

That’s very true. I think people are just looking for a pattern change. I know my lawn is super green but getting red thread and other fungus now that it has been so wet and dark.

Talking to some people on the train today and everyone is super excited about a heatwave, even the people that hate the heat. I found that odd but I think everyone is just sick and tired of the constant dreary weather we have had. Constant October skies in May/June do mess with emotions.

Really might want to be check for diabetes and get a relative humidity sensor. Warm air holds more moisture so heating this time of year will allow indoor air to become more moist. Mold is not killed by 85 degree heat. It is killed by sunlight and lack of moisture. So unless you are UVing the room, that heat won’t be killing it. You also should not have mold in a properly build house, so that should be remediated. Diabetes also makes the body feel cooler than it is. Sleep experts all recommend sleeping below 68 degrees.

We can't just get rid of Canada's boreal forest! They are part of a very important ecosystem. The problem with boreal forests is that decomposition is super slow. They have very limited decomposition throughout the year because of the long and very cold winters. So every summer more growth does happen and some needles and whatnot drop to the forest floor where they can remain for decades. The problem with this is it is akin to you bringing in a gallon of kerosene into your kitchen each year and storing it under the sink. You never light the kerosene or use it, but every year you buy another gallon and store it. Eventually you have a lot of kerosene built up and suddenly your garbage disposal goes on the fritz and sparks go everywhere (like lightning). Next thing you know you have gallons of kerosene going up in flames because none was used and just kept accumulating. The boreal forest is also home to several endangered species, plus tons of bacteria we haven't fully studied. We can't just get rid of it. Even replacement more fire-resistant trees would be non-native and not provide the same ecosystem services.

Ticks do well when we have snow cover before any arctic outbreaks, which we had this winter. Then early spring being moist helps get them active again. It has really been ideal conditions.

As for those saying June has been above normal so far, there are many locations in our subforum that are reporting below average. Danbury is one such location posting an average temp of 65.1 degrees against a normal to date of 66.2. For the year Danbury is at 42.1 degrees against an average of 43. Very rare in our current climate to be 'below' average. This May/June has been very odd in that some areas are holding on to cloud cover more than others, especially our more mountainous terrain. I do think the back half of summer will be much warmer than average and our fall will once again be warmer and drier than normal as that would be in line with our "stuck" weather patterns we get.

They are more brown than the blacklegged tick and were originally discovered in the US in NJ. See https://www.aphis.usda.gov/livestock-poultry-disease/cattle/ticks/asian-longhorned. The scary thing about them is their population has exploded because they can reproduce via parthenogenesis which is wild for a tick.

Well now you have to go knock on wood. NJ is interesting though as the Asian longhorned tick is really taking over.

This is certainly the case for many, but definitely not for me. I'm in the very northern part of the NYC Metro. What is doing it I think is the lack of sunshine for long stretches at a time. That is NOT normal for June across any part of our subforum. Also, seeing many days in the future like today which will be a -11 for my area. In today's climate and at this time of the year, that is pretty big to be doing routinely. There are 3 days on models that are at or above normal for my area over the next 14 days. That is a far cry from what many were forecasting this year.

Not saying it is jacket weather. Nor am I saying it isn't summer. But the big forecasts for summer were for +2 to +3 for many of the major outlets for our area. I'm not seeing that is all I am saying. It is looking like "normal". There are plenty on these boards that were saying HHH for days and days and that just isn't in the mix right now. But we do need to try and dry out some for the weekends for seasonal work. That said abundant moisture will keep our lab busy with above average ticks and mosquitoes. That is why I follow this stuff to forecast out what the season will look like. Right now it is well above average for ticks, but tick bites are below average. Likely having to do with weekend washouts keeping people away from hikes and what not.

I am still not seeing any signs of true summer on the models. Now looks more average to just below average moving through June. Forecast for ticks and mosquitoes looks to remain extra abundant!

Starting to look like those calls for much above normal temperatures this summer aren’t going to materialize on LR guidance. Looks like average to slightly above average. As for the ticks we are much above normal. It has been a brutal year for those but people haven’t been outside as much.

I hope so. We need to get a string of dry weeks in here. The tick numbers are crazy high right now. Luckily with the cold recently, the mosquitoes aren't as bad, but that will change too I'm sure.

I think we are going to average out closer to average than not over this time period. I see heat building, but still persistent storminess. It looks muggy some of the time. Here in northern Westchester/Putnam it looks like 3 days in the 80s this week peaking on Thursday but mid 70s for the weekend. Next week looks like 70s too for the first part of the week. Depends on the area. Tomorrow will be mid-70s for most of the forum. Weekend looks like 70s and humid. And maybe struggling to reach 70 next Wednesday. It isn't screaming hot or well above average like I am hearing.

Maybe I am blind, but I am not seeing a true heat signal yet. We have a few well above average days this week, but then it is right back to normal/below normal. Highs in the mid 70s this time of year are normal. Today will be another well below normal day. Thursday should be +10 to +12 then right back down to the mid 70s. Anyone who is proclaiming high heat can you point me as to where you are seeing this? Maybe in the southern part of our forum?

Amazing how so much of May was under low pressure. I really don’t do well mentally with days and days and days of this stuff. Honestly if I could spend April and May in Phoenix that would be my dream. Fingers crossed what we are seeing for June actually happens and we can get some sustained high pressure nearby.

These stuck weather patterns are the bane of my existence. It helps with sleeping though because #depression. I see NYC beaches open this weekend... Ready for the polar plunge?