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JustinRP37

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About JustinRP37

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KSWF
  • Location:
    Patterson, NY

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  1. Wow. Woke up to just shy of 5 inches of snow! I’m supposed to be grading finals all day but just got in from shoveling! Starting to turn to really heavy slush but was nice and light when I first got up. For all the people complaining about winter this far we are doing quite well. Ski areas are all open earlier than planned, lots of cold night cold nights and even some mild snow. Fingers crossed we stay in a similar pattern but turn snowier.
  2. Man I gotta say since moving to Putnam county we haven’t had a great winter. Still go to Vermont and Catskills for most of my skiing. I’m ready to move back to southern Westchester. Miss it down there just so expensive.
  3. It is really bad. Amphibians and many fish species are struggling near roadways. I firmly believe the salt use when not needed is to justify not cutting the treating budget as we warm. It is insane to see all the salt and brine used. It runs off and increases salinity in all our freshwater systems. It is also stressing plant life along roadways and one thing you can see is the trees near roads with heavy salt in the winter typically drop leaves earlier in the fall because of stress. There is currently a lot of research being done in this area. Our modern society needs to be able to accept delays during inclement weather.
  4. Edit: Never doubt the warmth. If the models show average, add +1-+2, if they show warmth add +3-+5. If they show frigid, moderate towards just below normal. We have seen this time and time again. The patterns of sustaining cold are over on a planet with more and more thermal energy. As I tell my ecology classes, all you have to do is look around. Literally look around at all of our energy use. Hardly any of it was around 100 years ago, to think this wouldn’t have an effect is pure stupidity.
  5. Yeah they have been “open” but I mean could this be the year at least 75% of the terrain is open for the holidays! That hasn’t happened in a long time and they miss out on a good chunk of money. Fingers crossed! I’m sure we will torch right on Christmas though, but maybe they will have a decent base ready by then.
  6. So happy to see snow this morning! Next week looks great for snow making! Could this be the first winter in quite some time the ski areas are mostly open by Christmas? Time will tell but I know my son is beyond excited for skiing!
  7. Someone needs more followers so is attracting weenies... Guess time will tell, but I am not seeing a snowy winter unless we get a huge storm that melts within a few days.
  8. Oh man... I dated a Sara, someone is about to have their lives wrecked haha
  9. Hopefully it moves up in time. Average high for my area for today is 48. Lowest high temperature for the next 10 is 49 on Thursday. Above 50 everyday after. Even our “cold fronts” can’t get us a day below average anymore.
  10. None of these are truly peer reviewed. I honestly think it is incredibly naive to suggest that the ocean currents do little to climate distribution around the world. Study after study shows the massive amount of warmth the oceans have absorbed to “buffer” out what we have done. And I’m not saying we would cool off if the Gulf Stream slows or stops. Much the opposite in our side of the pond. But for awhile we would see more heat accumulate in the tropics with stronger storms able to develop. Of course we’d see corals bleaching and more horrible effects. Plus we’d still be warming. I don’t think anyone is thinking there will be an ice age. Thermal expansion of the oceans is one of drivers as well with sea level rise. Point I was trying to make is our current models are based on current atmospheric and oceanic inputs. We are human and even when we think we know all the variables we are often shown that we didn’t. But we continue to learn. So I for one am quite worried about a slow down and the ecological impacts that could have.
  11. For as much climate talk as there has been, remember many of the models assume the Gulf Stream continuing to pump warm waters up the coast and to Europe. With Greenland melting, the Gulf Stream is slowing. If it collapses, then we are going to see a massive change in heat energy distribution. Tons of reports out: https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/rivers-oceans/key-atlantic-current-could-collapse-soon-impacting-the-entire-world-for-centuries-to-come-leading-climate-scientists-warn. But you can also read the academic journals about it as well. It is fascinating, but terrifying.
  12. One has to wonder how this drought is affecting the Delaware Aqueduct project. The reservoirs were drawn way down in preparation for it. I am already noticing the Croton system is much lower than I have ever seen it. You can see some of the project information here: https://www.nj.gov/drbc/library/documents/RFAC/042924/shallcross_DelawareAqueductShutdownAnalysis.pdf. Interesting to see for sure. One does have to wonder if the drought continues to worsen and a big chunk of the system down are we in for additional conservation measures? From what I have read nobody did expect this fall to be so dry.
  13. Well at least when the Gulf Stream collapses it will cool off around here. Definitely the first Halloween of my life I’ve had the AC on.
  14. Dear God no! October snow brings no snow during winter. Don't want another 2011/2012 redo.
  15. I was just mentioning to my wife that we haven't even used the space heaters yet in the house. This is the latest we have gone now without at least a few mornings or evenings with the space heaters. In fact we are still regularly using the AC to dehumidify. I do open the windows too, but the house is averaging in the mid 70s when all sealed up. Basement still hanging in there at 72. Leaves have barely begun to change when normally we are approaching peak. We will see how long we can keep this west coast climate up this fall.
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