JustinRP37
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About JustinRP37
- Birthday 01/14/1986
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Someone needs more followers so is attracting weenies... Guess time will tell, but I am not seeing a snowy winter unless we get a huge storm that melts within a few days.
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Oh man... I dated a Sara, someone is about to have their lives wrecked haha
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Hopefully it moves up in time. Average high for my area for today is 48. Lowest high temperature for the next 10 is 49 on Thursday. Above 50 everyday after. Even our “cold fronts” can’t get us a day below average anymore.
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None of these are truly peer reviewed. I honestly think it is incredibly naive to suggest that the ocean currents do little to climate distribution around the world. Study after study shows the massive amount of warmth the oceans have absorbed to “buffer” out what we have done. And I’m not saying we would cool off if the Gulf Stream slows or stops. Much the opposite in our side of the pond. But for awhile we would see more heat accumulate in the tropics with stronger storms able to develop. Of course we’d see corals bleaching and more horrible effects. Plus we’d still be warming. I don’t think anyone is thinking there will be an ice age. Thermal expansion of the oceans is one of drivers as well with sea level rise. Point I was trying to make is our current models are based on current atmospheric and oceanic inputs. We are human and even when we think we know all the variables we are often shown that we didn’t. But we continue to learn. So I for one am quite worried about a slow down and the ecological impacts that could have.
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For as much climate talk as there has been, remember many of the models assume the Gulf Stream continuing to pump warm waters up the coast and to Europe. With Greenland melting, the Gulf Stream is slowing. If it collapses, then we are going to see a massive change in heat energy distribution. Tons of reports out: https://www.livescience.com/planet-earth/rivers-oceans/key-atlantic-current-could-collapse-soon-impacting-the-entire-world-for-centuries-to-come-leading-climate-scientists-warn. But you can also read the academic journals about it as well. It is fascinating, but terrifying.
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One has to wonder how this drought is affecting the Delaware Aqueduct project. The reservoirs were drawn way down in preparation for it. I am already noticing the Croton system is much lower than I have ever seen it. You can see some of the project information here: https://www.nj.gov/drbc/library/documents/RFAC/042924/shallcross_DelawareAqueductShutdownAnalysis.pdf. Interesting to see for sure. One does have to wonder if the drought continues to worsen and a big chunk of the system down are we in for additional conservation measures? From what I have read nobody did expect this fall to be so dry.
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Well at least when the Gulf Stream collapses it will cool off around here. Definitely the first Halloween of my life I’ve had the AC on.
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Dear God no! October snow brings no snow during winter. Don't want another 2011/2012 redo.
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I was just mentioning to my wife that we haven't even used the space heaters yet in the house. This is the latest we have gone now without at least a few mornings or evenings with the space heaters. In fact we are still regularly using the AC to dehumidify. I do open the windows too, but the house is averaging in the mid 70s when all sealed up. Basement still hanging in there at 72. Leaves have barely begun to change when normally we are approaching peak. We will see how long we can keep this west coast climate up this fall.
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As someone who works on this stuff and teaches environmental science and sustainability at the college level, we can always talk about the much warmer past. Problem is, is modern life is adapted to our current climate. We are warming at a far faster rate except for a few mass extinction events of the past. The big difference is we are the ones adding greenhouse gasses. Without fossil fuels though we wouldn’t be here in the numbers we are. However, while climate change is a huge issue, perhaps an even bigger issue is the biodiversity crisis. Further, we are bound by physics and chemistry laws. Hence, as CO2 increases in the atmosphere, some will go into solution in the oceans, acidifying it. This is on-going. At around and atmospheric level of 700-750ppm of CO2, most corals would no longer be able to grow, leading to catastrophic collapse. Humans are very adaptable, but we have to continue to develop the future technology. So yes, we are warming faster than we would sans fossil fuels, but we also need fossil fuels to power out life and lifestyle until better alternatives come (which is happening at a rapid rate). But we cannot ignore issues and just say oh well it is warmer in the past.
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I know many are reducing the number of expected named storms for hurricane season, but I am thinking those numbers have to come down even more. I just don’t see things changing all that much in the two and a half months left in the season. We have many of the key ingredients, but the baker did not show up for his shift to combine the ingredients.
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No we really do not. Most of the area is above normal and parts of CT are still disaster zones from the rain last week. We need to dry out some.
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Water will be frigid!! It gets cold so fast!
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I’ll admit this was an impressively cool week. I don’t think I have experienced nights quite so cold with low humidity in quite some years in August. Going to suck at the water park tomorrow but I promised my son at least one more outing before they close on Labor Day.
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I’ll admit this was an impressively cool week. I don’t think I have experienced nights quite so cold with low humidity in quite some years in August. Going to suck at the water park tomorrow but I promised my son at least one more outing before they close on Labor Day.
