JakkelWx
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Everything posted by JakkelWx
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91/DP 76 here. Looks like some high clouds moving in from the NW.
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Fish in that river sure are having a great time.
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Looks like there was a massive fire at a Kentucky bourbon facility. Now half of a river is bourbon because lots of booze spilled into the river apparently.
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Meh. Looks like I'm gonna get split.
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91/71
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euro heatwave bust
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-NAO will turn positive just in time for winter
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What does this upcoming pattern change mean for my vacation to SW WV on the 5th? I'm riding quads down at the Hatfield-Mccoy trail system for a week. Might leave on the 4th. Better not be raining every single day, but I do hope to see some towers for a couple days.
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Mini tropical storm out there.
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Getting absolutely nailed by pop-up cells! Lightning is kinda meh though
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Awesome CU towers to my east.
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Barely moving, too. I bet those rainfall rates are almost 2 inches per hour in that storm.
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STW for the anvil cloud I saw developing earlier now. ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 215 PM EDT FOR NORTHERN KENT AND SOUTHEASTERN CECIL COUNTIES... At 144 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Hollywood Beach, or 9 miles east of Aberdeen Proving Ground, moving southeast at 10 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Minor damage to vehicles is possible. Wind damage to roofs, siding, trees, and power lines is possible. Locations impacted include... Cecilton, Warwick, Bohemias Mills and Cayots. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Continuous cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm. Move indoors immediately. Lightning is one of nature`s leading killers. Remember, if you can hear thunder, you are close enough to be struck by lightning. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways. && LAT...LON 3940 7600 3943 7600 3946 7601 3951 7598 3948 7578 3942 7577 3934 7583 TIME...MOT...LOC 1744Z 293DEG 7KT 3946 7594 HAIL...1.00IN WIND...60MPH
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Severe hail is hail that meets criteria for severe warning. 1 inch hail or greater is severe.
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4,000 J/kg of SBCAPE already and 2,000 MLCAPE. Whole area should be under a watch.
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Downgrade the slight risk. I'm sure we'll get something that way.
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July 2019 temperature forecast contest
JakkelWx replied to Roger Smith's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
DCA: +1.9 NYC: +1.5 BOS: +1.3 ORD: +0.6 ATL: +1.1 IAH: +2.1 DEN: +0.5 PHX: +1.4 SEA: +1.2 -
Huge CAPE values over central OK right now, exceeding 7,000 J/kg in places.. I want that here
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Just as I thought it couldn't bust for the 4th time in a row i just get a heavy shower with zero lightning, with 20kft echo tops as the cherry on top.
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I am watching a storm form over Dover, looking east from the state line. Rain shaft forming as well and an anvil just popped out
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3-4,000 J/kg SBCAPE and 1500 - 2000 J/kg of MLCAPE per latest meso analysis over much of the area. Just need it to be realized.
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3rd bust in a row (last night had like 1 rumble of thunder btw) in my yard.
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Maybe a line will form an connect the southern storms with the northern ones. But then again that's just my weenie-ism talking.
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Guidance holding out quite nicely as numerous storms are popping to the south as expected. Seems like farther north has more discrete cell potential where the SLGT risk is. Literally nothing right now though.
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Why's the SPC have the slight risk over the eastern - northeast areas if most of the guidance shows the southern areas getting hit?