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JakkelWx

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Everything posted by JakkelWx

  1. Blocking pattern looks well established to continue into the first/second week of January at least for now. The pacific should improve as well
  2. Amazing what just a few hundred feet can do
  3. Can confirm, the rain will stay mainly on the plain.
  4. The rain will be too cold for a flood watch. Warm rain expands more so a warm rain would warrant a flood watch but not this kind of rain
  5. Not me. I say with great confidence that January is going to be another epic month and we will have better chances of snow even here without worrying about mixing.
  6. Hope we get a blizzard in January to make up for the cold rain here
  7. The EPS is absolutely garbage for much snow if any here. I think calling this off down here is a fair assessment here now. Oh well. I can always drive north 40 miles. As I said this morning, this isn't my storm. For northern DE and northeast MD it is, definitely, but not here.
  8. 18z euro, so close i could practically throw a ball while its raining outside and it would land in about 10 inches of snow. Come on more SE ticks please!
  9. Aand the euro torches the eastern shore once again for a short time then 850s crash and good googly moogly it snows hard
  10. This should be a colder euro run. Better confluence, heights off the EC are lower
  11. What will the ratios be for philly?
  12. The arctic high for this upcoming snowstorm is progged to be about 5 mb or so stronger than the one in Jan 2016 I think.
  13. 18z GEFS mean snowfall 10:1 ratio to 114 hours out
  14. I am only a few miles off from seeing a foot on the 18z GFS.
  15. The 64-km NAM has 7 feet of snow in just a couple hours in Miami, due to dynamic cooling from hail in a training thunderstorm
  16. After a foot of snow melts at 11:59 PM December 24th
  17. I decided to take a look at the 33andrain website. Haven't in a while but they have some amazing posts in the storm thread for midweek.
  18. From CCB! on 33andrain: "Barring some significant change in the sampled vortmax, if I was a betting man, I'd expect the NW "trend" on most models (if that term even applies) to flip in the other direction by tonight/tomorrow morning's suite & tick SE."
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