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JakkelWx

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Everything posted by JakkelWx

  1. JakkelWx
    We seem to be having a lot of PNA spikes show up as we get closer in time. It may be disappointing to see a -PNA on the mean there but it washes out any brief PNA spike that might be in there. And that block is hella strong, just a little east of ideal.
  2. JakkelWx
    That is pure model porn.
  3. JakkelWx
    Can you post them?
  4. JakkelWx
    @CAPE Ready to track more storms? I remember when I said I wouldn't be tracking anything in February. Pepperidge farm remembers.
  5. JakkelWx
    Downgraded to an advisory here for 4-6 inches. Not bad
  6. JakkelWx
    36/8
  7. JakkelWx
    The NAM had a much better idea for the December storm because it was less tricky, it got lucky and scored a coup. These hybrid "Miller C" storms with a strong WAA and then a transfer are throwing the NAM off for some reason.
  8. JakkelWx
    Man that is an ugly dryslot, but it's better than seeing 35 degree rain melting all the snow for 12 hours straight. 12k NAM is 12km of dryness
  9. JakkelWx
    NAM other than 06z is ever so slightly ticking colder and it stays snow longer and longer.
  10. JakkelWx
    Some rain = how much? Seems like after last nights model hiccup things went more favorable for us again. I got a little too anxious and was even sweating in my shower. Any sleet is better than rain.
  11. JakkelWx
    The 12z euro looked a little better here I think.
  12. JakkelWx
    I read on another forum that the CMC and the RGEM are both too amped based on current OBS and should be taken with a grain of salt. This means the low tucks in too far west
  13. JakkelWx
    I wasn't expecting the GEFS mean to look this good
  14. JakkelWx
    Snow finally stops at hr 96 here but I'll take it
  15. JakkelWx
    Lol its still snowing at hour 90 on the CMC.
  16. JakkelWx
  17. JakkelWx
    One more tick towards more ns interaction would likely mean a huge hit for everybody, and then suddenly the RGEM wouldn't be such a fantasy anymore...
  18. JakkelWx
  19. JakkelWx
    The GFS looks like it has become the latest model so far to shift south. We'll see what it does from there
  20. JakkelWx
    This might be your best map drawing yet.
  21. JakkelWx
    I am going with the RGEM model.
  22. JakkelWx
  23. JakkelWx
    Yeah that's pretty lame. But its a step in the right direction. Edit: it's probably not gonna go our way in the end. It's easier to hope for CCB further east but what good is that anyways when it's all washed away by 12 hours of rain.
  24. JakkelWx
    It's adjusting to new data and I don't think those shifts are truly over either.
  25. JakkelWx
    NAM joining the party
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