This is getting worrisome. Another N shift like 18z and it's only an inch or two of slop followed by cold rain. I wouldn't even look outside in disgust.
Mentally recharged. The GFS has been consistent in showing ridiculous levels of high pressure over the whole entire arctic. This run basically speaks for itself:
@CAPE Yeah I agree. My posts have been erratic, likely because I am just exhausted from all the tracking that I have done. I think it would be best if I just take a break for a little while.
This is not an arctic "bust". You're looking at forecasts that are based off the GFS which probably doesn't have a clue. Both the GEFS and EPS support an extended period of much colder than normal temperatures.