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A-L-E-K

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Everything posted by A-L-E-K

  1. i see NE winds off the lake into the city through 18z on the GFS
  2. GFS/HRRR almost certainly on to something here keeping low level flow off lake for a longer period and i don't expect a flip here locally until 1-2 pm tomorrow, but should see a brief window for accums, maybe DAB+ to 2 if everything breaks right
  3. i expect it to actually snow out on Halloween, ULL moves right overhead and 2M temps falling close to 32 area wide with NW flow. That said, modeled QPF as snow is probably high thinking 2-4 hrs of high quality mood flakes or a DAB+ here in the city
  4. Those nam and euro solutions from last evening are gonna be lol bad imby. At least LOT didn't bite. Shame about the beautiful banding placement tho, just a bit too early in season for this setup. Still hoping for a DAB with the defo but less than confident
  5. that seems to be the way to go, probably better for mby anyways flakes falling during trick or treating looking like a good bet so that's a win
  6. i've completely tossed any chance of WAA snows here, heavy returns gonna be south there anyways, it's defo or bust.
  7. NAM still bullish on the Halloween DAB, even to the lakefront
  8. EPS are quite cold in the med range, so probably more snow chances not too far down the road
  9. Ez toss anything showing snow to the lakefront like that this early in the year with flow off the lake, wraparound defo mood flakes or nothing here.
  10. Far nw IL to rfd definitely not out of game for light accums
  11. sub 990 gonna happen, lol the ULL picking up the remnant low and deepening in just the right spot
  12. gonna manage another 1-2 from the remnants
  13. Late October snow climo is bad, especially imby but it's prime bomb season, take any solution with rapid deepening in immediate region and call it a win. Patterns have a tendency to get sticky these days and this would be a good one to see again
  14. legit potential given magnitude of the early season cold and potential phase in the subforum, obv need lots to go right this time of year but a good early threat
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