GFS/HRRR almost certainly on to something here keeping low level flow off lake for a longer period and i don't expect a flip here locally until 1-2 pm tomorrow, but should see a brief window for accums, maybe DAB+ to 2 if everything breaks right
i expect it to actually snow out on Halloween, ULL moves right overhead and 2M temps falling close to 32 area wide with NW flow. That said, modeled QPF as snow is probably high
thinking 2-4 hrs of high quality mood flakes or a DAB+ here in the city
Those nam and euro solutions from last evening are gonna be lol bad imby. At least LOT didn't bite.
Shame about the beautiful banding placement tho, just a bit too early in season for this setup.
Still hoping for a DAB with the defo but less than confident
Late October snow climo is bad, especially imby but it's prime bomb season, take any solution with rapid deepening in immediate region and call it a win. Patterns have a tendency to get sticky these days and this would be a good one to see again
legit potential given magnitude of the early season cold and potential phase in the subforum, obv need lots to go right this time of year but a good early threat