A-L-E-K

guessing i'm done with single digits but wouldn't bet on it obv

zzzzzz

did we even have an 80 degree dew at ord last summer?

ensembles look bad for those pining for early spring maybe it's good to get the cold out of the way now, idk p sick of the nw flow era tbh

it's bad folks

so sick of this

i had a dog a few years back

lol not our year

At least the miller b is dead

the tail doesn't wag the dog, it's all downstream of the ugly h5 look

yup, convection robbing moisture is a weenie talking point. ugly trough, ugly look at 85o = trashy nw side H5 look got close for a second there but backed away and then trended progressively worse...was never gonna get it done

Best part of event now

call looking decent, waa feels good for 2-3 and should manage to find another 1 or 2 somewhere shame about the swing and a miss on another potential event in what has been a rough winter for major synoptic snow storms in the region, when it's not your year, it's not your year

fwiw i'm hedging on the stronger/nw solutions based on the consistent slower/sharper trend with the trough and resulting lee cyclogenesis, surface features vary widely from model to model and run to run but this upper level trend is p consistent running out of time for changes but we're right at the point where small shifts will result in large changes to the cold sector qpf fields

i remember when joe called the mega derecho the night before i'll never forget it