largetornado

Latest data does suggest that corridor may be the winner. Im liking between lafayette and indy right now.

Makes no sense that we get a D2 enhanced when sunday was a D2 enhanced and this is a much more potent setup. Unfortunately, this confuses the public and they will think its the same as sunday which was a relative bust to most people.

While the severe threat is noteworthy, i feel like the flooding potential for the southern subforum could be catastrophic. 6-10" of rain along the ohio river from missouri to cincinnati.

Honestly not sure why they issued this. Screenshot is EURO 500 MB for sunday night. GFS has a more pronounced trough but thermos need work. Given that the models are so different at 500 mb, i think this outlook is a bad call. Maybe Little Rock to evansville to bowling green to nashville. There is veering in GFS soundings. I agree there is a risk on sunday, but this large area...i dont see anything that supports it, especially as far north as michigan.

GFS sounding for illinois at 348 hours. not really that note worthy...but the one thing that caught my eye are the lapse rates. sign of things to come?

Rumblings of a multi day severe setup around march 4th starting the the plains with a 991 GL cutter the following day. I have a gut feeling we are in for a nasty severe wx season.

Southern portion of the subforum is looking at a significant Winter storm tuesday into wednesday. NWS Louisville already has posted winter storm watches for 4+ inches. Models are consistent on a heavy band of 6-10" snow totals along the I71 corridor or just south. I anticipate this will trend a little bit more towards the north but we will see.

Had about 9" in cincy. 1/2" of sleet/freezing rain in between two 4-5" layers light and fluffy snow. Without the ice, easily a foot plus storm.

HRRR snow fall. Lol and the storm isnt even over in this run.

Can anyone explain why the foreign models (EURO, GPDS, UKMET) have the heaviest snow band south of the ohio river whereas the American models have the heaviest snow band tracking near i70?

That hotspot will pull Milton North. $50 says landfall is 2 Miles NW Tampa Bay.

Update to my last post…it was not a storm chaser killed near Corning. Death toll appears to be 4 in greenfield and 1 north of corning

Preliminary reports indicating a storm chaser was among the fatalaties

Yesterday had more tor reports than Monday