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Pilotwx

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Everything posted by Pilotwx

  1. Has anyone had any experience measuring.02- .08 of snow ?
  2. Only thing I could see right now that could be a positive is maybe Low placement is off and closer to coast, something to keep an eye on future runs.
  3. If your worried about cold air, better start worrying about the cold air pushing moisture father south and east
  4. Everyone just move to Boone Nov.- March problem solved for everyone .
  5. That dry slot is getting ready to extend north if model trends continue
  6. 96 for was the second most memorable, 1st was a storm around 97 -98 getting old can’t remember which year . But, while at App state 30 inches in 12 hours ! Biggest flakes till this day I’ve seen .
  7. yea , jumped on the old Cm to inches calc. with out reading it fully
  8. Keeping eye of QPF increase or Decrease the next couple days and how far west and North it will trend or not ? Also could we possibly be seeing the storm still on track for timing , but longer duration storm
  9. Notice that QPF is dropping in Foothills regions. Expect a farther south solution next 24-48 hours then a come back North closer we get. How big a change is the ?
  10. Colder model runs are on the way, for the start of the storm.
  11. Can see this dropping farther south due to the fact CAD is hardly ever modeled strong enough on GFS.
  12. on Sat it looks like back edge looks stationary, and moisture transport out of gulf is still going strong and building .
  13. Looks like storm maybe slowing down, if so it may give the western edge a chance for more snow . Also lots of back building long LA coast
  14. Day 3 runs are when the models start to latch on. Models almost always lose a storm day 4 or 5. My area is probably out on this one no matter and has been since first being shown, so hang tight tomorrow evening storm should be back for area South and East of N Foothills
  15. Might be sitting this one out in N, Foothills. Hope that someone gets their dream storm.
  16. Well Cold Air is out running moisture
  17. Yep, rather be where we are right now. As most who have been here for years know there usually is a NW trend. Probably start sniffing it out day 3 or late day runs on day 4. Also you can rest up as you dont have to worry about how much, at this point your thinking a dusting is a win
  18. Its snowing very small flakes here, Models are showing 4-6 here, but moisture may dry up before it gets to the Northern foothills
  19. Could be convective feedback problems with T'storms and heavy rains to the south so this would cut number down farther North . If RAP has no convective feedback issues I could see why NW NC , Northern NC into much of VA numbers have increase. This maybe what the RAP is seeing .
  20. The foothills are feast or famine in the last few years with moisture of any type.
  21. This typical time range models lose winter storms. Lets see if by Thursday/Friday models come back to storm idea. Models don't look as promising as they did over the weekend. Long range cold and snow warm and rain are always a flip of the coin when forecasting a pattern change
  22. Need the Low to get going over the central gulf of Mexico for this to be a big snow maker, especially back to the West.
  23. Every model just about for 2 weeks has had a min. or completely dry over the NW piedmont and N foothills counties , Stokes, NW Forsyth, Yadkin, Surry. It seems to be trend for awhile, most of the time it has been right. Hence one of the reason Pilot Mountain fire grew so quick
  24. 12Z tomorrow run we will either see the people to the East cleaning the Grocery stores out, or people in the West topping off their Groceries.
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