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Ian

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Ian

  1. Today is playing out better than yesterday for 100 for sure. It'll still be close but imagine DCA will get it at this rate.
  2. Generally like big heat to peak late here it is often cumulative esp at a place like DCA. But tomorrow does seem it should be no worse than today as far as sky cover.. for now. Had a suspicion 100 would be harder to come by than it looked from the data but then saw 24-25C 850s on the Euro yesterday and kinda sorta bit, tho leaned lower than my first range.
  3. Agree it's generally on the low end of expectations, which really is not that shocking since it's so humid. But HI right now is 110 at DCA, 106 at Dulles and 107 at BWI. All three have hit at least 97. Maybe underselling by a few degrees.
  4. Soon. Or probably not but sooner than I'd like.
  5. Summer 10-12 is back. :< For DC... Most 90 degree days on record in August 2nd hottest August (by one degree on one day of the month) Hottest July/August 3rd hottest summer
  6. Think we got too much rain last night. Temp of 82 at 10 would require a pretty huge rise to get to 100. We might get some upper 70s dews tho later.
  7. DCA hit 97+ five days in a row... should be it. Ties for the 4th longest stretch of 97+ in DC.
  8. I looked to 2000, has happened a few times. Most recently in 2011, April 4.. 43/86. Dulles actually has 5 above 50 but not that shocking for its location I suppose. 4/11/1977 87 33 54 4/3/1981 86 34 52 1/28/1987 35 -17 52 3/23/1994 83 32 51 4/18/1985 84 34 50
  9. Current three winter stretch is the snowiest on record for Dulles, VA (since 1963) at 122.7". Number two is 65-66 thru 67-68 with 105.5".
  10. Think this is still king for me since I've been here. Rank: Feb 5-6 2010 Jan 2016 Dec 2009
  11. Pattern progression: http://imgur.com/lD6lFdU
  12. Put together a bunch of images for CWG: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2016/01/25/the-12-best-meteorological-images-of-the-blizzard-of-2016/ One in there people might want is the Euro comparison.
  13. I'm sort of in awe of how many giant storms I've seen here. There were times when 20-30 years would pass between. There's not much like a crippled city in a snowstorm. It actually doesn't rank all that far behind a good Texas tornado (still fairly behind a KS one).
  14. We have so much more data access now than even 09-10. I have a folder with 483 images in it so far. Saved every Euro run at 500mb, sfc plus precip/snow for past week.. precip/snow for GFS. I've been in a number of big storms now but I think this one is near the top. Walking around today I think I must have undermeasured... worse than Snowmageddon by a bit at least.
  15. Here are inititalizations of the GFS.. should be as good (think that's what most reanalysis is these days anyway). Grabbed so much model stuff in leadup. Still going thru tidbits etc pulling things.
  16. I saved the full LWX doppler for it. I need to figure out how to put it together and where to save it since it'll be huge.
  17. Play around with this it has basically everything once you figure out how to pull it http://xmacis.rcc-acis.org
  18. 2015-16 goes down as latest trace on record for DC. Still none. 01-02 tapped out today.
  19. DCA finally made the 20s this eve. Latest on record passing 12/23 in 2012.
  20. Looks like this should go down as the third warmest year on record for DC*. 2012 61.5 1991 60.2 2015 60.1 1998 60 1990 60 *you know the story
  21. We need to get Sep.. 1881. That one should be next.
  22. Now also 7 months of the year since 2001 with a record high monthly temp at DC Mar 2012 May 2015 Jun 2010 Jul 2011 Oct 2007 Nov 2001 Dec 2015
  23. No trace of snow yet (through end of December) in DC. Only has happened in 01-02.
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