Ian

This is that thing where LWX dots every i and crosses every t for heat products... 104 heat index sorry y'all. I get it but it is funny to compare to svr as noted earlier in this thread. Watch they'll fill it in overnight or something.

Had dinner downtown with Matt and Randy last night. Doing some "normal" stuff is great.

solid for low dews. should snag one or two in the days ahead if rain cooperates.

sweet

Highs locally... DCA/IAD: 96 BWI: 98 Highest of the year so far at Dulles and BWI. Performed or more based on modeling.

Hopefully it's now hot enough for the people that live in the woods on a mountain or next to the water. Also good luck with the north trend this winter.

we're not going to be that lucky in 2020

Prob would be more useful to see them split here. May look into it but know that data is messy. LWX does a fine job overall but I think it is true they issue svr much more readily than pulling the trigger from advisory to warning. But it is prob partly a case of them following the criteria more directly for heat vs issuing svr for 40 mph winds since it'll bring down some dead trees. Plus the differences in office ideology matter so it's hard to compare across them. PHL gets way more warnings than we do with their special criteria as well, despite us looking like a hotspot.

Better than 89. Also a fun day to watch the low level flow on satellite (time sensitive) https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Virginia-02-96-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

what could have been...

we DCed the heck out of it

yeah until it's 100 in a few days.. during our sad ass tiny streak

At least winter will make up for this failure.

The streak is dead, long live the streak!

yeah maybe. I have seen it happen once or twice but I can't recall if it was summer. prob quite unusual this time of year tho a high near 5 certainly not out of the question on a day like this.

I want to see 89 in the daily climate report then hit 90 at 5:42.

that has happened a couple times lately.

Does look like it's finally making headway clearing from west to east. July the 16th be with you.

At least records are supposed to cluster right? #DCing

Euro has been increasing temps this weekend/early week lately. 102 for Sun and 101 for Mon at DCA per the 12z run. Closer in than many of the bigger numbers on display of late, though not total support.

nice snippet from LWX AFD... mentions the lows .CLIMATE... A rather notable streak of heat has been ongoing in the immediate Washington DC area for nearly three weeks. As of this afternoon, 20 consecutive days had reached at least 90 F at Ronald Reagan Washington National Airport (KDCA). While it is certainly not unusual to hit 90 F in July in the DC area, multiple weeks without a break are relatively rare, as evidenced by the all- time record which is 21 days (it happened twice in the 1980s -- once ending on August 14th 1980, and again ending on August 18th 1988). The ongoing streak is notable not only for its longevity, but its earlier occurrence in the summer season. If the temperature reaches 90 F on Thursday, the record will be tied. But it`s going to come down to the wire. While the background air mass will be warming, it will also become increasingly humid. The more humid it is, the longer it takes for the air to heat up (humid air is denser and requires more energy to raise its temperature). In weather speak, 850 mb temperatures will be about 1 C warmer than today, and 1000-500 mb thicknesses will be increasing several dm. But with the increasing humidity will come a deck of clouds. These clouds should lift and scatter by late morning and may actually help to trap heat tonight leading to a warmer start. But if the clouds linger too long, the air might not have enough time to heat up to 90 F, especially at the airport with an onshore wind right off the Potomac River (the water temperature at nearby Washington Channel is 85 F). Which of these competing factors will win out? It`s not clear just yet, and probably won`t be until at least later tomorrow morning. Guidance available so far today suggests highs will range anywhere from 85 to 93 F at KDCA, with a best-guess consensus of 89 F. But if it does hit 90 F tomorrow, it`s seeming increasingly likely it will continue to hit 90 F for at least several more days after that as the warming trend continues.

yeah somehow missed that one. just saw NAM MOS is 91 which seems about right. not sure why it would be all that much different than today. have had a fair amount of clouds today. NAM MOS also has 85 for Friday... we're having to earn this one.

oh it's coming. we also kept the 70+ streak alive last night which seemed it could be close. american models still not a fan of tomorrow. national blend is 88 for DCA. would be classic #DCing. last night it was 91 for today -- will check back later.

we dominate summer

If anything our humidity seems to be increasing lately with proximity to warming bay/ocean etc. 94/78 on the reg woo. ;p