Holston_River_Rambler

One thing I also noticed about the whole stomr yesterday was that as the now infamous snow hole was forming east of Nashville the snow was intensifying as clouds where thickening to the north over Ohio and Michigan: Early hours of yesterday morning, just as the storm was approaching east TN: Everything looks like it is a go. Watch what happens later that morning into the early afternoon: It looks to me like the upper low dropping in over Minnesota starts to drop in creates more forcing up that way. The strengthening jet does try to help later, but ultimately there's a dryslot disconnect between the southern moisture and the much more wound up ULL to the north. Euro was emphasizing that ULL feature a lot more than the GFS.

Just saw something interesting in the upslope flow satellite and radar. Some little lee side meso vortices formed as snow bands moved into the eastern valley from the Cumberland plateau and hugher elevations of SW VA: The most pronounced one to me moves from just south of Cumberland Gap toward Greene County:

6z Euro AI is a great example, but pretty much any major global model is showing some variation: Boundary sets up and each wave drags it a bit further south.

I'd say better than average after the 21st, as it stands now. Models have been consistently showing an arctic boundary pressing SE and waves running along it. The only question is timing everything out. Some runs have big hits, some nothing. Big upsides and nothings:

State of the state:

Pretty good rates now for me.

I’m back to snow.

Looks like the warm nose may be eroding south and east over Cumberland county in the last few frames of HTX CC:

Two bluebirds have given up and snuggled into an eve on my deck ceiling:

Looks like some of those echoes I mentioned above are approaching @John1122. I bet he stays snow.

The enhanced echoes coming off the plateau are over me now. Sleet and freezing rain.

I was wondering about those bands on radar.

There is a fog this rolling in with Feb warm nose. Still have quite a bit of small snowflakes mixed in though.

Changed over here in southern Morgan County to sleet/ zr State of the state:

One encouraging thing for those of us north of 40 is if you look at the HTX radar Correlation coefficient the change over line has now stalled a bit, oriented wsw to ene from just north of Shelbyville to around crossville.

Back to pixie dust for me

I'm wondering if someone can get just north of the WAA when it stalls and then get this over West and Middle TN if it holds together: Also curious about the the little bands the red arrow is pointing at

Three radar looks: Real time obs:

Not much overhead on any surrounding radar sites but getting hands down the best rates of the day.

4 hours in:

@John1122 finally starting to pick back up here.

It is still snowing, just super, super fine flakes.

700mb frotogenesis really pronounced on radar, at least I think that's what it is.

Yeah, I'm just now working up to that lol.

I don't know what flake size you have John, but finally seeing some bigger flakes in past 10 minutes here.