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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler
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Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
As far as I can tell the whole Euro website is down. https://charts.ecmwf.int/ -
Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I think its just the Euro according to COD. Got the info off of Southernwx -
Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
yeah it has some data problem. -
Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
All down hill from here: -
Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
GEFS member 25 has given us a ceiling, lol. -
Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
UKIE: -
Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, I think the ICON was going to bring the second wave for more snow. It is the ICON alas. -
Webb going for the 2011 and 1974 analogs on X.
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Looks like the rain/snow line may be trying to slip south towards Kingsport with precip rates? @Carvers Gap
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Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I found the link I posted for the above in links. It was the last thing I posted in links, lol. Doesn't work for me anymore sadly. -
Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
For anyone looking for a convenient MJO site: http://www.stormsurf.com/page2/links/mjo_phase.html I'll archive it in links too. -
Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Load of sleet falling right now in Morgan County. -
Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
RGEM throwing out 3" an hour rates in parts of SW VA tomorrow morning: NAM 3k not too far off: GFS looks even better towards High Knob: -
And so begin our semi-annual February floods: The firehose is poised and aimed. The creeks and streams runneth over. Puddles gather on low lying areas. Dams are pumping out 2-3 generators. The Holston River in west Kingsport this past Friday (2/7) The Obed today 2/9 MRX:
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Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'll go for it. -
Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
@jaxjagman East Asia rule? -
Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
16th - 17th looks like it has some potential to be one of the rare "shift south" storms with the massive -AO and Greenland block. Some small hits on the ensembles in a "wave riding a front" just in time situation for parts of TN for now. Probably not worth digging much deeper for now. -
Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
We're good man! -
Winter 2024/2025 February Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Latest janetjanet outlook: Pretty cool page with a bunch of togglable functions on the experimental water page: https://water.noaa.gov/ Here's the page with the flood outlook products: https://www.weather.gov/owp/operations-national-fho-archive?d=2025-02-08 -
Man, that storm had some staying power, it stayed alive almost to the NC coast: Part one from Gainesboro to Charlotte Part two Charlotte to the coast: Nightime Microphysics:
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2 deaths confirmed by MoCo EMS. Sounds like in the Deer Lodge area, but not sure.
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Hopefully that’s all you get. Meanwhile the cell in Sevier county is getting a hook.
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Looks like the main storm's couplet is trying to reorganize, and heading toward the Powell area.
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That foreground valley in the landscape picture I posted above is pretty close to where that last couplet passed
