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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    I can kind of see it there, but I have no idea what that is using for a base layer. I've just been trying to go by Wunderground obs to see if they are verifying in some way.
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here is the HRRR FRAM product, probably a bit more realistic:
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    Ice accrual device: I wish I could hang the beer can up, but I'm not sure how to work that out without a mini net.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    One thing I did notice making that HRRR gif, is that it is trying to help erode the warm nose from downsloping: Also the weird "fingers" aren't as apparent on how the HRRR initializes temps, but they are still there in its dewpoint rendering: I looked at DPs on Wunderground's weather station map and I can't really see it except maybe in one place near Erwin.
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Not a problem at this time:
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    No worries.
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    As of right now, I'm not seeing any of the weird "fingers" we were looking at wrt the Nolichuky and French Broad Valleys, just typical downslope warming.
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Honestly, it looks pretty typical to me. See if you can grab a screenshot of what you see on the below
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    Usual downsloping suspects doing well:
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    HRRR sees the break out near Clarksville and points west, but seems to want to fill precip. back in quickly as the evening wears on. I'm not sure it will fill back in as quickly as the HRRR thinks, but I'm 100% sure there is more coming when the second slug of moisture back in TX starts to swing though around daybreak tomorrow.
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    Up stream looks pretty good for areas east of Nashville for the rest of the evening.
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    Not really. I was pretty well committed to about what I’ve seen so far. Light snow to sleet and now freezing rain. I guess it is just a waiting game to see how much accrues. I was just posting the radar pic in TX because of how convective the precip looked. Maybe an area that manages to hold on to lower temps longer gets some thunder ZR lol!
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    It looks like at H5 the kicker dropping in from Canada has kind of ended up sweeping everything, including the Baja wave, out north and east. All that spawns a gulf low, but nothing too wound up. Just a massive load of moisture overrunning and what the New England weenies call a southwest flow event. It doesn’t all ever really phase so much as it just keeps truckin.
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    My wife is also having a rough time today. Though it doesn’t sound as rough as what you’re dealing with.
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    I get a few more flakes when rates go up, but 90% sleet for me.
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Satellite eye view of wave two starting in TX looks convective. A little curious to see a sounding toward Austin. yeah... I don't know if it matters in the synoptic environment, but the hodographs there have a little bit of a sickle in them.
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    I do believe the warm nose has won out IMBY (SE Morgan county)
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah, in this situation the HP is already sliding east of the Apps and funneling cold air down the Piedmont
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here we go, let's see how much I can get before the changeover:
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    Getting a few fatties now. Moderate snow.
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    Sleet and light snow here
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    A live look up the holler:
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    Last few frames of CC show the warm nose really starting to rise north:
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