Jump to content

Holston_River_Rambler

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,558

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    Glad you posted that Knoxtron. I was able to see so high resolution evidence for the snow band that sets up to the lee of Chimney Top mt purple funnel indicates a faint trace of a band that then gets enhanced just before the 3000' peak (black circle), then a little bit of downsloping, then it picks back up again, but with a slightly different trajectory (red line) I threw some mapping over it on GOES 16 and it looks like it goes through N. Johnson City/ Boone's Creek? I was also able to see the one we sometimes see near west Knoxville, intro Blount county: It comes down to the lee of the Cumberland mts like Cross Mt and Frozen head then seems to split in to, with perhaps some TN River enhancement and Bluff mt. Black circle is, I think Mt. Leconte, based on the three peaks Looks to me like the northern of those two bands aims at Sevierville:
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    We need some amplification in the pattern over the CONUS or North America. 0z Euro AIFS shows one way to get there. Now that model drops a continental trough over the west, but at least it shakes up the overall flow from a northern stream racing across southern Canada and squishing everything that has had any idea of amplifying. Hopefully if we can start to get some amplification when we get a more favorable pattern again later in Feb.
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    Some snow showing up on the OHX and JKL radars. Looks to me to be a different mechanism to the overrunning to our south. Some MPing reports around Lexington. Nothing around Nashville yet.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    N. Stream says, NO AMPLIFICATION FOR YOU!!!!
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Welp:
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    Frozen Head State Park this morning:
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    Some fine warm temperatures this morning:
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    In Oak Ridge and it is pouring. I wish I could post the rippin fatties image lol.
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    Sun came out and I had the heaviest snow of the day lol.
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    I made a video for someone a few weeks ago: Sorry I apparently recorded my wife talking too, so just mute the video. But it shows you how to insert images through imgur. Basic jist is get you're picture, save it to your desktop, drag it into imgur, then right click "copy image address". Once you have that address copied, you can paste it into Americanwx post and it should automatically pop up as the picture.
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    Latest NAM gets some virga up this way
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    We need some obs from eastern KY folks. NWS Jackson is talking dirty about deformation zones, baroclinic leaves, and snow squalls. Might even hit BuCo
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    Are they rippin' though?
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    I wonder how Knoxtron is doing? I have a slushy accumulation of less than .10th of an inch, lol. At least some of my old snow in shaded areas got to meet some new.
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Latets HRRR has some pretty good returns over the central valley starting between 10 and 11 am and it thinks they will mostly be snow:
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    Speaking of La Ninas of yore... Might could be a clipper on the Euro and GFS this upcoming Friday? Surely not!?
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    Models seem to be all over the place long range. We'll have a run that tries to drop a 1050+ arctic high down then another that tries the old La Nina flooding pattern or severe. One thing with this dominant northern stream, is that it is what I would have expected from La Ninas or yore, not the recent constant troughs over the southwest.
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    One thing that I'm kind of wondering about for Tuesday now is what happened with the last system. If you remember the northern stream system dropped in and suppressed the southern stream and helped develop some snow over the upper midwest and OH Valley: here is a gif of the RGEM for that last system:' Trend has been for this Tuesday for obliterative suppression as the shortwave in the southwest kicks out and a northern stream shortwave drops in, kind of like what happened above, but with the n. stream system getting further south. The above above looks even more suppressive for us now that I look at them both together. But who knows, maybe the n. stream drops far enough to give us some lift. It's all I've got. Seemed like a good idea when I thought of it at 2 am lol. There's a bit of time Tuesday PM where we have moisture from 925 mb up to at least 500 mb.
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    OHX hoists WWAs for Cumberland and Fentress. 1-2 inches.
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    For midweek, a lot seems to depend on this little booger off the CA coast: NAM shows less interaction: More precip makes it NW as the second N stream piece drops down out of Canada: RGEM now shows more interaction: since it gets hung up a bit, there is less interaction and so precip is a bit south: Although honestly it's still not too far off.
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    I think John might just will this into being!
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    I think we decided to use it for subsequent obs for the arctic air too.
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    TBH the Euro isn't too far off either if it loses part of the shortwave getting hung up over the (can you guess where?)
×
×
  • Create New...