Holston_River_Rambler

It was from the 26th, but I went back and looked and didn't see much more than a little line of showers: I guess they could have been convective, but still such a weird/ cool cloud pattern.

Tropical Storm warnings into parts of our CWA:

I wasn't really looking forward to the rain, but now the season stream in my front yard is roaring again, lol. My wife and I dug it out and landscaped in and around it, so I'm happy it's back. My larger dog (TROWAL dog) may have flopped in the deeper section of it and gotten pinched by a crawdad! Nearby weather station is up to 2.5 inches, we may hit 4 before it's all over

Weird cloud formations on satellite yesterday in the eastern Valley. Maybe some subsidence caused that?

Another tropical system. More humidity. Yay

Maybe we get a No Flood February NFF (patent pending) and call it a win!?

Sorry for the jumpiness, I am still a little rusty this year. EPS member 8 FTW.

Didn't we watch this same pattern show back in early September? We thought we were getting a front through and CO ended up with a big early season snow. But after that, fronts did start to make it through again. And hey, we've had some pretty good blocking for at least the first half of the month. Maybe we have just a normal crappy La Nina this year and not and Epic Crappy La Nina?

That's inspirational Stovepipe! We have 31 GEFS members this season; I have not yet begun to gif!

Glad I was out of town in Boone and couldn’t watch, lol.

Still in the low 50s at noon. This airmass is chilly.

O ho ho, fantasy storm on the 6z GFS: Annnddddd look what happens if you suspend disbelief and pick the best ratio: What's the Euro going for at that time (doesn't quite go out that far) you might ask... Will we have the perfunctory Halloween-La Nina snow to accompany Jeff's Halloween cold front?

Couldn't resist: Sorry Jeff

The end of the 6z run this AM looking pretty nippy too. Snow showers and low 20s for higher elevations. Almost time to start looking at 50 EPS members for true weenie runs, lol.

Chilly early Fall AM at Obed definitely saw some frost on the way there

Some Wunderground stations reporting freezing or below up here on the plateau this AM. The closest one to me is at 39.

I wish I could react with both the #sad and #thanks reactions to the above. But I only get one, lol Now that October is closing in, it will be interesting to see what the NAO averages out for that month. We have Isotherm's statement late last winter that (I think) 2 out of the 3 upcoming winters would feature, on average a -NAO. I think Tellico also mentioned something like that based on maybe the QBO??? and that it would be interesting to see that feature wit ha La Nina, but I don't remember exactly what it was and couldn't find it. The post I started this thread with, looks at the NAO in Oct. Haven't worked myself up this winter to the sort of effort I put into that previous post, so this is all I have to add for now. We must hope for the following pattern in early - mid Jan, lol: As John said though .008% chance of it, lol.

Seen on MRX at 5 PM, 9/23/20 Getting twitchy enough to start looking at Hydrometeor classification.

It completely died before it made it to my place in Morgan County; I didn't even see a drop of rain. Some nice wind gusts as what was left came through, but that was it.

This convective system looks pretty healthy to me, compared to the CAMs anyway: Good and sunny upstream too, between it and me, although beyond that I'm not too good at ready the mesoscale analysis pages for severe/ strong storm parameters. To me it looks like it will make a nice charge Paris -> Nashville -> Crossville -> Knoxville

Got some pea sized hail with this line as it is coming through Morgan County

That plateau one is about to hammer me. Looks like it was bowing out a bit the last few NEXRAD frames

Sorry the above should say glad there's **NOT** a ton of sunshine.