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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    I'd be feeling pretty good about that one if I lived on High Knob, Pikeville/ Wise areas. Not that it is out of the question for others, but I think elevation and latitude will win on this one. EPS has not really backed off or amped up since yesterday: Although it does look like it too likes the idea of some flakes behind the 3rd wave we've been talking about, (the one John mentions above)
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    NAM was optimistic with the 3rd wave deal we've been talking about: I'll count the Saturday thing as a win if we get NAM'd a couple of times, lol.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    Sorry @Kentucky saw you down in the "recently browsing" tab and realized I keep forgetting your area in these:
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    EPS not quite as excited this afternoon, but probably the best odds, if we're just basing it solely on EPS 24 hours snow plots that we've had all season. Not that that's saying much:
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    Saw on twitter today the peach trees are budding in Connecticut.
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looks like happy hour GFS was reading Jeff's mind, lol:
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    Hopefully Jeff survived, lol, congrats.
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    So, just to show the envelope of potential for the system as the trough is lifting out, here is EPS member 37: and member 17: I'm guessing we need the last wave before that one to crank it up and git, git, git, to act like a 50/50 to force confluence and the next wave south. Something to root for anyway. Euro Control shows a middle ground between the two:
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    EPS shows some support for that one too, if we're walking about the same one, again mostly plateau west:
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    Happy times are here again: https://battaglia.ddns.net/twc/
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    Spring leaf index. 3 weeks+ early, now into TN
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    It's here......
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    @Runman292 We're at Leeroy Jenkins level when we are looking to the strat:
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    Any of y'all heard of this guy: He just joined twitter in the fall and was almost immediately followed by Masiello. Me, being the sucker I am, also followed him. He writes about the sun in ways I haven't heard anyone: Thoughts? Looks like he likes the 53 - 54 analogue too.
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    Just noticed the Euro has a bunch of really, really strong lows all over the N Hemisphere. Could be par for the course, but seems odd ot me. maybe those have something to do with the attacks on the SPV
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    And by well I mean only 1 - 3 for some areas in the eastern TN valley
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    To be fair, really the only thing we've done well on the past couple of years are waves spinning up on fronts that have passed by, so this one fits the trend.
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    12z GFS looks good for the third wave deal:
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    Not really adding much here, but man this looks nice: still just 6z run, but would be different from the last two years in that it displaces and splits towards us: exactly what we've been missing this year too, a nice punch from Scandinavia
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah, I think part of the EPS flip flop is what exactly it does with the lowest heights in the N hemisphere. The runs where it has them closer to Greenland usually = stouter SE ridge.
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    If the weather's gotcha down today, St Brigid has a cure:
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    Convection is a mess this AM,a little bit everywhere:
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here's that Euro storm, for those interested, mostly eastern and elevation areas: I think we're at the point, like John said, where it's a win just to get a modeled storm under 200 hours, lol. Same thing, at least for me, for the pole. Nice to see that sucker getting pushed around consistently and **gasps** aimed toward us for once instead of Siberia. Euro looks similar, but doesn't do out as far yet. 3D maps shows a bottom up and top down attack I think I would prefer it to stick together and roll over toward us. If it splits at the end of February, probably yet another cloudy, rainy spring in the cards. EPS says its our turn to drink:
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    This upper low coming through is punchy. Heavy rain, cold wind, convective clouds, and rainbows
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