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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    Latest HRRR says you should have an answer in Nashville in as soon as 3 hours, at least not much longer to wait now one way or the other.
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    Upper low starting to get its act together and the cloud tops are cooling in MS and AR:
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah the hi res models show me rain until 2 - 3 AM.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    Temp has leveled off here, I think I may be just on the wrong side of a boundary.
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    RGEM rakes areas of eastern KY:
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    Seriously though, I feel the same way. I always cringe when the news is on board. We see what happened to the weekend after WVLT went ahead with the 2 - 4 and 3 - 5+ Sorry, I'm just superstitious, lol.
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    18z NAM still coming in good for the upper Cumberland plateau and into Kentucky :
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    Satellite looks about like it has been, maybe even worse in the 5/6 regions, but there was also a big flare up over S. Africa this afternoon, but not sure if that is a normal diurnal thing there: No big changes to how Euro or GFS see the SPV from 0z, so no help there.
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    The Euro MJO forecast did take a step toward the GFS suite. Not a big one, but it does gain some amplitude in 5 and 6 before crashing, instead of hanging out in the COD forever. maybe that's it? Not sure though.
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    Lest there be any confusion, what I was trying to say was that despite the 500mb look, still chilly at the surface and 850s. If that cutoff gets kicked out quicker, maybe a ridge would pop in the west on the Euro.
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    Indeed it does. HP in the lakes, looks nippy and no more 13" rain totals, lol:
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    Seems like recently, the reality of the speed of the flow has been kicking energy out of the SW a little better than the Euro says
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    Euro looks like it is trying to get it done. Nice AO vibes, but Euro does the old dump the energy in the W. At least there seems to be more often than not lower heights in the Aleutians and the ridging occasionally makes it to western Canada.
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    wow. was wondering how things were down your way, looks like y'all still getting hammered
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    12z Euro:
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    Andre Michaux's Journal, 1796: "Feb 28, stopped ten miles from the river on account of the Rain and because the Creeks had overflowed their banks... Feb 29, Snow fell throughout the night and on the following morning..." Thought I'd start this one to keep me from cluttering up the main long/ mid range thread, lol
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Start a thread for this one, or no?
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    UKMET kind to plateau at elevation and E KY at 12z:
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    When I was up there a guy told me to look at it, but recommended I not do it today, lol. I didn't even know there was a tunnel until today. Here is the picnic area: Random tree floating down:
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    Probably a good bet to expect stuff to go wrong, given how things have been this year, sadly, not even sure I will do well. @Kentucky looks pretty good and as of now and I will say that just went outside and the temp has started to drop, rain has ended and the wind is howling in the trees. Big difference in only 30 minutes when I got back from my ramble out to the Obed.
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    Oliver Springs area between OS and Oak Ridge:
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    This one almost meets the definition of a bomb cyclone according to the NAM and RGEM, goes from 993 to 969 in 20 hours. Should be a dynamic system.
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    Obed Flooding at the confluence of the little Emory: Judge Branch coming off of Frozen Head: Highway 62 at the Emory River:
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    3km NAM looks fun for the duration of its run: Keep in mind, some of the snow early on is not the normal wrap around upslope, it is driven by an upper low and the strengthening surface low to the lee of the Apps.
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    Hearing reports that parts of Highway 27 in Roane/ Morgan county are under water now.
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