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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    Sorry, didn't see this thread until now. Looks like snow is at the 24/75 split, onTDOT smartway cameras, may still not be reaching the ground NE of there, hard to tell on the cameras
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    @Uncle Nasty probably won't be too long, I can see it on I 24 traffic cameras heading up the valley. Hard to tell, but almost looks like it is already sticking to the medians,
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    mPing showing some reports of snow in Chattanooga and Dalton, GA
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    How far N and NW will it get? Looks like Chatt is about to get a good burst
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    @Carvers Gap someone paid a visit to your namesake today:
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    That's another way to look at it too. They are working together, so the southern one might have been too amped if the N one wasn't suppressing it.
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    The good news is that at least the ++++++++++++++++++++++NAO is encouraging last nights storm to git, git, git on out of here, like a blond squatch, so it kinda sorts acts like a 50/50
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    I think that's another piece of energy that's keeping the one we want to amp up, from amping like some of the models were showing a few days ago. The northern one is timed just right (our typical luck) to keep the southern one from digging and turning the corner.
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Me too. Just trying to figure something out for why they would write that, lol. Sunrise at Chatt is ~730 am so should be primo time for anything to stick
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    I had the same reaction though.
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    Maybe they meant time of day?
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    MRX mentioning sun angle: On Saturday, a h50 shortwave trough in cyclonic flow will move through the Tennessee valley. Increasing dynamics aloft from PVA and an 130 knot upper level jet to the south will allow for precipitation to develop across Georgia and move north. Temperature profiles favor this initial precipitation in the form of snow, however, as warmer air moves north, most of this initial snow is forecast to change over to a snow/rain mix and eventually all rain by the afternoon. The forecast snow amounts are uncertain across the southern valley while better confidence exists across the higher terrain above 2500 feet. Here snow amounts could range from 1 to 2 inches with locally higher amounts of 3+ inches above 4000 feet. Again as mentioned previously, much lower confidence exists across the southern valley regarding snow totals. While initial precipitation will be in the form of snow, it is expected that this will change over to rain as warmer air moves north. It is also expected that the snow will have a difficult time accumulating because of the warmer surface temperatures and higher sun angle. Because of the low confidence, felt it best to only issue a special weather statement for Saturday and mention snow showers for the valley of eastern Tennessee. As of this afternoon, total snowfall ranges around a dusting to less than a half inch of snow across the central and southern valley. Later shifts will monitor and may issue an advisory if confidence increases for heavier accumulations. The winter weather advisory for the mountain zones of TN and NC will go into effect at 12Z Saturday and will run through 00Z Sunday. Bolding from me.
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looks like Euro came in with a little more moisture in the eastern valley than 0z. Had to make a run to the Wally World for milk sandwiches for the snowpacalypse so can’t post it. It has been consistently warmer in its precip outputs, but would be interested to see pivotal’s soundings
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    Tomorrow could be a fun one of those systems where a little extra RH gets sucked up the valley and lifted in the foothills areas
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    UKMET has it between 12 and 18z tomorrow
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    UKMET for tomorrow
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here's the little snow shower that dropped them
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    Some fun dendrites with some riming just now:
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    Been trying to dig though my gifs for a OP Euro of this one at 200+ range, but no dice.
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    By "this storm" I mean how the current one was forecast at range
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    Along those lines, and maybe I'm misremembering, I feel like this storm got booted out of the SW quicker than the Euro originally wanted it to. Looking at the overnight Euro, if you get that shortwave to roll east a little faster, and the northern stream verifies a little faster then you get something more akin to the GFS solution.
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah, GFS looked even better at 0z. It's just so different from the Euro. Maybe they upgraded the GFS again, but something feels wonky these past 24 hours with it. More than usual. Or maybe instead of a rug pull, everything flips randomly to good for once this year.
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    Just for a comparison, not very far as the crow flies, much less even on the rim of the Obed Gorge: Just got back from Obed again. less flooding, more snow: For your viewing enjoyment, 1 minute of snow over the Obed gorge: Put these originally in obs thread, I guess I was still thinking about the flooding.
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    Just got back from Obed again. less flooding, more snow: For your viewing enjoyment, 1 minute of snow over the Obed gorge:
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    Woke up to a dusting with flurries still in the air.
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