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Holston_River_Rambler

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  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here's the AIFS for interested parties.
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    12z Euro:
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    It runs the 850 low from Dallas to Cleveland
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah it's got a surface low over the foothills of SE TN at hour 99
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    The two shortwaves def. look less in sync than previous runs, but we'll see what that amounts to down the road.
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    Guess I'm just a glutton for punishment, shortwave differences between 12z and ------------------------------------------------------------------------> 6z
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    play by play as the Euro comes in
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    Watching the PBP on southernwx and nothing but positive changes so far. Not sure how far it can go, but to tired to do a pbp here. I'll post gifs when the Euro gets far enough out.
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    excellent, it has started!
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    That'd be nice! @BuCoVaWx I'd day you are one of the best placed of all of us in the eastern forum areas.
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    met on southwernwx is saying the euro and euro aifs are delayed...
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    Thankee
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    Let is know what they say (or as much as you can), if you are allowed @Tucker1027
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    I hurt myself today, to see if I still feel. I focus on the Euro, the only thing that's real What has snow become my dearest friends? Everything that I love goes away in the end
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    12z Ukie:
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    maybe I'm looking at it wrong, but it looks to me like the HP was a little stronger, (if a little north) at 0z:
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looking at a gif jacksonhendrix posted on southernwx, it makes me wonder if this could even somehow trend to a plain old Miller A if the orientation of the trough continues to change, or even a bigger cutter? If that trough digs more and ends up a bit more neutral near the Mississippi at verification time, I guess a miller A that rides up the coastal plain is possible, but I would rate it a low possibility at this time.
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    I 100% could be wrong, but I thought someone in NWS told it which ones to favor in its average?
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    Someone on southernwx mentioned Dec 5 2002 as a potential analog: There are some differences, but I'm not sure its totally off the table
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    How does the NBM still show this? (Note this is not a response to what tnweathernut posted)
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    It's part of this big upper low near Kamchatka right now. That's how far off it still is: It gets spun off and has to ride over the arctic ridge and down into the desert southwest: Watch close above on the Euro and you can see it take the ride
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    I'm going to see if I can find it on satellite.
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    I think they're just saying the recent northern trend may be one, or maybe not. The northern stream vort that's causing all this heartache is strung out north or the arctic circle now.
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    I need to go back and see exactly what he thought in the videos. I got the impression from others posts he was just riding the CMC and a typical climo NW trend and got lucky. I don't typically watch that sort of stuff because I would rather gouge out my own eyes.
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    AIFS ticked north at 6z:
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