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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    I prefer this one
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    I'm having to use imgur for gifs instead of giphy now because of resolution problems, so you may have to refresh the page to make the gif go in motion after you see it the first time.
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    There are still some height rises in front, but nothing like rises you'd get with a full triple phase. Could be one to something or ON something.
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    With regards to the GFS, it looks to me like the shortwave that was phasing just kicked out in front of it so quick, it helps to suppress heights to the east There is still a small shortwave diving down through Oregon and CA that phase with the Baja low, but the larger piece stays separate.
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Pretty sure I just had a sleet/ rain mix @John1122 I think it was one of those onset mix precip type deals that changes to rain.
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    Here's the AIFS for interested parties.
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    12z Euro:
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    It runs the 850 low from Dallas to Cleveland
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Yeah it's got a surface low over the foothills of SE TN at hour 99
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
    The two shortwaves def. look less in sync than previous runs, but we'll see what that amounts to down the road.
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    Guess I'm just a glutton for punishment, shortwave differences between 12z and ------------------------------------------------------------------------> 6z
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    play by play as the Euro comes in
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    Watching the PBP on southernwx and nothing but positive changes so far. Not sure how far it can go, but to tired to do a pbp here. I'll post gifs when the Euro gets far enough out.
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    excellent, it has started!
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    That'd be nice! @BuCoVaWx I'd day you are one of the best placed of all of us in the eastern forum areas.
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    met on southwernwx is saying the euro and euro aifs are delayed...
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    Thankee
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    Let is know what they say (or as much as you can), if you are allowed @Tucker1027
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    I hurt myself today, to see if I still feel. I focus on the Euro, the only thing that's real What has snow become my dearest friends? Everything that I love goes away in the end
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    12z Ukie:
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    maybe I'm looking at it wrong, but it looks to me like the HP was a little stronger, (if a little north) at 0z:
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    Looking at a gif jacksonhendrix posted on southernwx, it makes me wonder if this could even somehow trend to a plain old Miller A if the orientation of the trough continues to change, or even a bigger cutter? If that trough digs more and ends up a bit more neutral near the Mississippi at verification time, I guess a miller A that rides up the coastal plain is possible, but I would rate it a low possibility at this time.
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    I 100% could be wrong, but I thought someone in NWS told it which ones to favor in its average?
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    Someone on southernwx mentioned Dec 5 2002 as a potential analog: There are some differences, but I'm not sure its totally off the table
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    How does the NBM still show this? (Note this is not a response to what tnweathernut posted)
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