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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler
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1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
12z Euro: -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
It runs the 850 low from Dallas to Cleveland -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah it's got a surface low over the foothills of SE TN at hour 99 -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
The two shortwaves def. look less in sync than previous runs, but we'll see what that amounts to down the road. -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Guess I'm just a glutton for punishment, shortwave differences between 12z and ------------------------------------------------------------------------> 6z -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
play by play as the Euro comes in -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Watching the PBP on southernwx and nothing but positive changes so far. Not sure how far it can go, but to tired to do a pbp here. I'll post gifs when the Euro gets far enough out. -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
excellent, it has started! -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
That'd be nice! @BuCoVaWx I'd day you are one of the best placed of all of us in the eastern forum areas. -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
met on southwernwx is saying the euro and euro aifs are delayed... -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Thankee -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Let is know what they say (or as much as you can), if you are allowed @Tucker1027 -
Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Holston_River_Rambler replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I hurt myself today, to see if I still feel. I focus on the Euro, the only thing that's real What has snow become my dearest friends? Everything that I love goes away in the end -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
12z Ukie: -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
maybe I'm looking at it wrong, but it looks to me like the HP was a little stronger, (if a little north) at 0z: -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looking at a gif jacksonhendrix posted on southernwx, it makes me wonder if this could even somehow trend to a plain old Miller A if the orientation of the trough continues to change, or even a bigger cutter? If that trough digs more and ends up a bit more neutral near the Mississippi at verification time, I guess a miller A that rides up the coastal plain is possible, but I would rate it a low possibility at this time. -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I 100% could be wrong, but I thought someone in NWS told it which ones to favor in its average? -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Someone on southernwx mentioned Dec 5 2002 as a potential analog: There are some differences, but I'm not sure its totally off the table -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
How does the NBM still show this? (Note this is not a response to what tnweathernut posted) -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
It's part of this big upper low near Kamchatka right now. That's how far off it still is: It gets spun off and has to ride over the arctic ridge and down into the desert southwest: Watch close above on the Euro and you can see it take the ride -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'm going to see if I can find it on satellite. -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I think they're just saying the recent northern trend may be one, or maybe not. The northern stream vort that's causing all this heartache is strung out north or the arctic circle now. -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
I need to go back and see exactly what he thought in the videos. I got the impression from others posts he was just riding the CMC and a typical climo NW trend and got lucky. I don't typically watch that sort of stuff because I would rather gouge out my own eyes. -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
AIFS ticked north at 6z: -
1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Still eventually rains to WVA, but to my eyes it was a tick south and colder. I wonder if there is a path to the northern stream wave dropping so far west of BC Canada than we end up with enough separation?
