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Holston_River_Rambler

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Everything posted by Holston_River_Rambler

  1. Holston_River_Rambler
    The Euro OP seems to be wanting to sharpen and dig the energy more, over the N Gulf. I tried to make a gif, but t is hard to get the time stamps synced because teh 6z/18z have different set of hours than the 0/12z runs. Here's an example though: More open, neutrally tilted wave: deeper, sharper, negatively tilted wave: the deeper that digs and the more negatively it can tilt, especially if it does it right along the MS river, the better for us all.
  2. Holston_River_Rambler
    Just from the perspective of "how do numerical forecast model services depict precip" perspective, it is interesting to see the diff. between the RGEM on TT and the RGEM on pivotal Hour 63: Here's the RGEM sounding that Pivotal gives over my general area for that time:
  3. Holston_River_Rambler
    6z GEFS:
  4. Holston_River_Rambler
    0z EPS members. Some of them seem to have crept east a bit since 12z yesterday:
  5. Holston_River_Rambler
    Overnight Euro OP for western areas. I know Jax already shared teh specifics, but notice the "Max" number on the image. How manyt times will you see that number at hour 120 over the SE (and not the Apps?)
  6. Holston_River_Rambler
    Overnight Ukie takes the early week system's surface LP east of the Apps : Then the systems keep on coming.
  7. Holston_River_Rambler
    Got some freezing drizzle up here in Morgan County, and maybe a very melted snow flake or two mixed in.
  8. Holston_River_Rambler
    Some of the SREF plumes in about an hour, should be fun out towards Memphis:
  9. Holston_River_Rambler
    Look at the watches and warnings for this one, lol:
  10. Holston_River_Rambler
  11. Holston_River_Rambler
    18z Euro: The energy looked rather RGEMish to me, if a tad west.
  12. Holston_River_Rambler
    18z RGEM keeps a week surface low entirely east of the Apps, and runs it up through the midlands of SC and NC:
  13. Holston_River_Rambler
    I think you'll like the 18z GEFS members I just posted in the other thread, lol, if you are in Franklin.
  14. Holston_River_Rambler
    I'll go ahead and say that most EPS members (at least as they depict snowfall), are a much more west, but n=maybe we can apply rule #5 here: Euro tends to hold energy back.
  15. Holston_River_Rambler
    Sorry, I should probably keep the info for the early week system in this thread. That being said, check out the 18z GEFS members
  16. Holston_River_Rambler
    Ole Ragl'r 18z GFS actually keeps the LP east of the Apps.
  17. Holston_River_Rambler
    18z Para getting a little closer to with and Apps runner or keeping the LP east of the Apps: such a good looking HP, and holding its own instead of skidootchling east.
  18. Holston_River_Rambler
    Man its 33 and change here at the edge of the plateau. As is the custom, fog has built in over the last couple of hours as some WAA tries to set up.
  19. Holston_River_Rambler
    Euro is going for a wave riding the front scenario as the trough digs and sharpens: doesn't generate a lot of precip this run, but if there's one thing we've had luck with the past couple of winters, it's that scenario.
  20. Holston_River_Rambler
    Barely breaks the 0 degree celsius line:
  21. Holston_River_Rambler
    Euro box sounding around BNA while the mixed bag of precip is moving through:
  22. Holston_River_Rambler
    THIS IS THE WAY
  23. Holston_River_Rambler
    Even the Euro is a little closer to rounding the Apps with the surface low:
  24. Holston_River_Rambler
    Memphis and Tobie ought to like the UKMET precip maps for Tuesday. And @Carvers Gap it could have some shades of the CMC's evolution.
  25. Holston_River_Rambler
    Even if a lot of this is sleet, I'll take it, lol: We'll see what the precip type amounts look like once they are available on F5wx. Look at that blue dollop over @PowellVolz !!!
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