Shocker0

You could've went to WATE website to look at the weather camera ay Fairfield Glade instead lol. Either way, this is busting big time right now in Crossville and a lot of other areas. The heavy stuff falling the past hour or two was supposed to be snow but is rain. I'm not seeing the 5"-10" on the WSW currently. We still have most of the snow on the ground somehow that fell this morning but since then it's been almost all rain I think

One more pic for now...still 33. No problems sticking to everything even after the rain. I'm sure Wintersnow888 is probably asleep but I'm curious if anyone else around Crossville is seeing snow right now since the radar shows rain even over me. EDIT: Looking at Crossville weather camera it looks like some snow at least in the street lights.

It's snowing some of the biggest flakes I've ever seen right now. TWC has us going rain for 3 hours but I'm hoping it won't. The flakes are so big you can see the shadow of individual ones falling from the porch light

It's definitely a very wet snow. I really can't believe it's snowing based on the radar. It shows rain and everywhere around us as rain. I am at 1980ft elevation though. I'll check back in an hour and see if it's still doing it.

Beginning to stick to the cars and grass but I don't have much faith it'll stay snow for the rest of the event, but maybe it will stay dynamically cooled under heavy rates

Just woke up and looked outside and it has switched to mostly or all snow where I am in Crossville. The radar showed snow all night but it was rain, and now shows rain and it's snowing. Not sure if it has been switching back and forth between rain and snow while I was asleep, but the temp dropped quickly from 35 to 33 in the past 5 minutes when it started.

He's just been getting rain while everyone else has been getting snow all around him

On the other hand, my buddy in Batesville, AR has 0" still and NWS had him at 3-5". But it's like he's in a snow dome or something.

Yep, we benefit from being 150-200ft higher than town, plus further Northwest closer to the edge of the Plateau so the storms smack into us first and stick around longer. I remember in January 2016 we got around 10" with 2ft drifts in our part of the county while town ended up with 2-4" because they had mixing issues until late in the afternoon while it switched to snow here several hours earlier. I could see tomorrow play out like that, but I can also seeing it be a bust everywhere. Hopefully it isn't though, but I'm not getting my hopes up lol.

Awesome! Monterey or Crossville? Monterey looks to do better than Crossville with this storm and that's typical ins almost every winter storm here. But with them being further north and west it may help cut down on mixing issues there. I just hope it isn't a bust all around as there is potential for it with this system for sure. But that looks to be one of the more solid areas as every model keeps spitting out 6-12"+ it seems.

Or stay at the hotel right off Exit 317 and drive to exit 311 after the snow as there is almost always more there. Monterey is Exits 301 and 300 and has a nice hotel in town though (Bethel Inn & Suites)

Monterey or Jamestown are usually better than Crossville. Or NW Cumberland County is good but no hotels here other than a campground on Exit 311

Yeah it seems like all the models are struggling hard with that right now. Some had snow hitting middle Tennessee with a band of freezing rain on the western edge which seemed really odd.

OHX latest disco actually sounded more bullish than when the WSWs were put out early AM. Basically said some places are gonna get wallop and 8"+ isn't out of the question. The question is where these bands will set up. Doesn't mean much for the Eastern part of the state, but just a few hours ago even the midstate was looking almost blanked.

Looks like a "realistic" possibility. We'll see. Seems like maybe things are starting to come back to us after the crazy model runs for most of the day.

Yeah sometimes they get a lot depending on the track but usually the Plateau areas will always outdo Livingston. Cookeville also fared well the last two events which is uncommon for them as well. The Plateau areas still averaged 4-7" in each of the two snowfalls though, but a line from Murfreesboro to Livingston was on the higher end it sounded like. If there is a good place in Tennessee Sunday, Livingston looks to be up there again. And you probably will have to drive through Crossville and Monterey to get to Livingston anyway so you can see if it's worth continuing on lol.

Monterey or Jamestown would surely be better than Livingston? I mean maybe not with this system but they do have elevation on their side over Livingston. Along with NW Cumberland.

Can someone post the snow map for the latest NAM and/or HRRR? Thanks

NWS in Nashville raised my low from 27 to 32 on Saturday night, and the high on Sunday from 30 to 36 in the last hour. Yikes.

Is there any reason for us to think this won't make another major shift between now and Sunday morning? Maybe since the second part us now on shore it is more locked in as far as track? Just curious since on Wednesday the heaviest axis of snow (besides NC) seemed concentrated on Western Kentucky. But now in the latest models they are only squeezing out a couple of inches there. Right now Tennessee is in a good spot but it feels like this storm has been 48 hours out for about 3 days now lol.

NWS took our temperatures in NW Cumberland down to 28 tomorrow night (from 31 last night) and the high of 36 on Sunday down to 30. However, they added in a chance of rain on both Saturday night and Sunday afternoon, both of which were calling for all snow last night. That would suck if it switches to rain well after the snow started. Especially if it really does top out at 30.

Looks like @Wintersnow888 and me better grab milk and bread ASAP

He seems a bit pompous to me...I could see how maybe there would be some friction with him in the workplace. I'm probably completely wrong but just how I feel from what little I've watched him (and maybe in part due to his nickname and always saying "I told you so" after coming within 3-5 degrees of the high temperature he forecasted that day)

EDIT: Apparently I ended the video a little early and he showed other model solutions with more, but this was the first one he showed.

David Aldrich has a second low going through Memphis as well (as of 8:30pm ET) and then cutting up around Knoxville (similar to WATE but further east). Mentioned that this will cause mostly rain in areas, and then whatever model he used spits out the most meager of amounts that I've seen from any models today for Tennessee. Hopefully he will be wrong. Honestly his map looks closer to what the models were showing two days ago with how far north he has the heavy snow.