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purduewx80

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Everything posted by purduewx80

  1. purduewx80
    The 12Z DVN sounding has impressive mid-level lapse rates just under 9C/km. Very warm in the low levels, which means capping ahead of it should prevent any junky convection lowering the risk of a bust.
  2. purduewx80
    HRRRx keeps showing some small pockets of 75-85KT wind gusts, fairly widespread 55-65KT gusts. Probably some QLCS spinups in there too.
  3. purduewx80
    Pretty shocked the meh SPC outlook doesn't even mention any risk for upgrade given everything going on. Already a rear inflow jet on the SD/NE activity.
  4. purduewx80
    Jan/Feb ECM outlook fits into the standard La Nina:
  5. purduewx80
    Isaias did a number on those previously-warm SSTs offshore: Will be interesting to see how/if those recover in the next few weeks.
  6. purduewx80
    Seems pretty straightforward to me. Test, trace, federal mask mandate w/ fines for non-compliance. If we’d had a total 6-week shutdown nationally in the spring, we wouldn’t have to deal with these conspiracies, mis-information and the trolls in this godawful thread.
  7. purduewx80
    One of the tools they use at JFK Tower measured that today, as well.
  8. purduewx80
    Model wind products are at 10m because anemometers are at 10m. This is entirely due to aviation.
  9. purduewx80
    09Z surface analysis has a coastal front draped from the city down to those cells in the Delmarva. The LLJ will probably shove it back NW-W later this morning but it will likely act as a focus for any spinups.
  10. purduewx80
    because the NHC track shifted west. the heavy rain threat was always going to be west of the low's track.
  11. purduewx80
    agreed. not even seeing that in NC obs now.
  12. purduewx80
    This is where the recent heat wave and warm SSTs come into play. Allows for steeper low level lapse rates to tap into the low level jet.
  13. purduewx80
    At least three probable waterspouts out there now:
  14. purduewx80
    now up to 4.19" at MKE in the past 3 hours. radar is significantly underestimating totals there.
  15. purduewx80
    lake-effect getting going near Milwaukee now:
  16. purduewx80
    view from the office tonight
  17. purduewx80
    Already some rainfall totals of 1-3" across the urban core (highest south side). Given incoming storms and several rounds of lake-effect convection tonight and again tomorrow night, I'd expect some significant urban flooding will result.
  18. purduewx80
    la nina ftw
  19. purduewx80
    early monday could deliver. most 00z guidance has a meso-low over the southern end of the lake with lake-induced CAPE up to ~2000 j/kg.
  20. purduewx80
    yikes
  21. purduewx80
    You can always get tested so you know for sure. What you're describing definitely fits within the wide range of symptoms people experience, but it could just as easily be something else.
  22. purduewx80
    I'd add the "plandemic" video and widespread sharing of pseudo-science and misinformation on social media to that list. And maybe mental illness.
  23. purduewx80
    TN is the 4th fattest and 10th poorest state.
  24. purduewx80
    https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=KORD&num=72&banner=NONE&hfmetars=1
  25. purduewx80
    Current surface water temps on southern parts of LM: Goes to show you how easy it is to wipe out shallow warmth, especially when deeper parts of the lake have temps in the low 40s.
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