purduewx80

7 is still warm in Feb.

5-7 are the warm phases this time of year, not sure where some of you are getting your info.

~Decadal February climo may be hard to beat in the Southeast and Northern Rockies/Plains.

Soil moisture is pretty dire in the coastal plain. Really need these areas to catch up prior to consistently warmer weather, which seems unlikely at this point.

We're probably going to need the -NAO (GH) to return in some form to get any wintry precip chances outside of the mountains and/or Piedmont in fleeting CAD setups. Ridging at the edge of the Pacific(PR) and Alaska(AKR) domains will continue to bring Arctic air into North America, but it seems destined to spend the most time in the typical Niña spots from New England to the Rockies and PacNW. Gonna be hard to avoid a top 10 warmest February in parts of the Southeast imo.

Looking forward to off-and-on highs in the 70s and an early spring here in ATL.

The Freeze Miser work great on outdoor faucets. Makes more sense to use these (or allow drips) in the South because we don't have lengthy periods of super cold weather; otherwise, they probably would freeze up. You leave the faucet on, and this allows a very slow drip when temperatures drop below about 35. Mine have worked well with temps in the teens a few nights in a row - both froze up solid prior to grabbing these from Amazon.

The bias corrected Euro sits and spins in the warm phases, which is similar to the CFS.

Weird expansion of advisories and warnings today, snow is over for most of Atlanta but the “damage” is done.

Yep, looks like 85 will be the rough dividing line between mood flakes and minor impacts.

NWS Atlanta will do an 18Z sounding. Most of the 12Z models appear to have initialized too moist at 850mb, and it still appears to be a struggle to saturate looking at the higher scans from BMX and FFC radars.

6th driest 850 dewpoint on record at the Atlanta office this morning, last night’s was the 4th driest. gonna take a bit to saturate.

These squalls are a good indicator of the true Arctic air coming in. Much steeper low level lapse rates develop as 850s tank.

AIFS has been more or less consistent for days. Upper jet dynamics look great but deep moisture peeling off to the east Saturday night and the wave’s fast progression should limit amounts outside of a mesoscale heavier band.

good luck with that