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midatlanticweather

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Everything posted by midatlanticweather

  1. Down to 39..cold Winds a blowing. Wind chills in the upper 20s.
  2. 38 here last night. Crazy to have so many 30s in the forecast over the next several days!
  3. Wow. 37 here Colder Than expected.
  4. Not too exciting. Bit of wind and some quick heavy rain. Heard one thunderclap here in Purcellville. This is quickly moving on, but was not just a rain shower.. had winds in the upper 30s briefly.
  5. Soupy out there for sure. Occasional sun in Purcellville with a temp hovering around 74 for a while. DP of 68
  6. I just happened to read that warning and it was estimating winds to 80mph possible! WOW!
  7. LWX thoughts Potential still exists for a second round of showers and possible thunderstorms to develop in the 15Z-18Z time frame, but this isn`t completely certain it will happen. Hi-res models are in disagreement with convective coverage with the HRRR showing mainly shallow convection and the Hi-Res ARW and the NSSL WRF ARW showing scattered deep convection in the form of short lines or bowing segments. The 12Z IAD sounding showed two inversions with one from sfc to 850 mb and second one from 750 to 700 mb and corresponding high LFC or Level of Free Convection abv 700 mb. With best 3-hr pressure falls and height falls occurring over western and north central MD in the 15Z-18Z time frame, this is where I would expect the best chance of deep convective development rest of today. Regardless of convective coverage and intensity, strong gradient winds of 45 to 55 mph will occur outside of showers except greater than 57 mph in southern MD where 50kt have already been reported. The risk of convection will be winding down after 18Z and should be over by 21Z if not sooner.
  8. "Only" 0.99" so far out here in Purcellville. That extra heavy rain went east of me this morning. Lull for now as we await round two in a few hours. Stay safe all!
  9. Flurries all over Loudoun currently... I have a few out here in Purcellville.
  10. Potential is definitely starting to show some focus. SPC highlighting Marginal next two days. HRRR going a bit crazy (notoriously).. We will see. Could be an interesting few days nonetheless.
  11. I would care more if we were tracking snow.
  12. Well, maybe people aren't traveling as much.... Ya! Right!
  13. I have seen/read this story again and again this season...... it will disappear by early next week..
  14. Thunder and lightning. Heavy rain off and on with showers. Winds kind of picked up too
  15. Guess snow south of us hurt in 2012 as well!
  16. Probably should have said caved to the idea of snow -- not the amounts!
  17. I can hear @Ji already - too far north for a Southern Slider.. the consistency of something in NC southern VA definitely seems like a legit possibility in that region. This winter is painful. If this works out, I would be shocked!
  18. Coldest night of the winter. 10.6 degrees
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